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Nigeria: Petrol prices could fall to N300/litre with local refining— Report

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The operators of modular refineries in Nigeria claimed on Sunday that when the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and other indigenous producers begin huge output, the pump price of Premium Motor Spirit, also known as petrol, could drop to roughly N300/litre.

They emphasized that foreign refineries were taking advantage of Nigeria, but they also pointed out that this would only be possible if the government made sure that local refiners had access to enough crude oil.

Speaking on behalf of the Crude Oil Refinery Owners Association of Nigeria, they clarified that whenever gasoline is produced in large quantities in Nigeria, it will affect petrol prices in the same way that it did for diesel once Dangote began producing it.

Nigerian modular and conventional refinery firms are recognized as members of CORAN.

“A lot of companies today benefit from the importation of petroleum products at the expense of Nigerians,” the Publicity Secretary, CORAN, Eche Idoko, stated.

“If we begin to produce PMS today in large volumes, I can assure you that we should be able to buy PMS at N300/litre as the pump price, provided there is adequate crude oil supply,” he said to our correspondent.

“Why make Nigerians buy it at almost N700/litre when you know that if you allow refineries to work the price will come down? Is it because you want to satisfy the global refiners abroad that are making so much from us?”

The CORAN official argued that gasoline prices would skyrocket once it is manufactured in large quantities by domestic refiners, despite concerns that such a price decrease is not feasible because crude oil, the basic material for PMS, is priced in dollars.

He said, “We were selling diesel for N1,700 to N1,800/litre, but as soon as Dangote refinery started production he brought down the price to N1,200/litre. What other proofs do you need?

There is every indication that diesel prices will continue to decline before December as I speak to you. Our exchange rate is the only factor keeping diesel prices above N1,000 per litre.

“If the exchange rate drops, diesel will drop below the N1,000/litre price. Now the exchange rate concern is because Dangote imports crude. If he is not importing, the exchange rate may not have so much effect, though he is still buying crude in dollars (in Nigeria) anyway.”

According to The PUNCH on May 18, 2024, Aliko Dangote, the richest man in Africa, announced that Nigeria would no longer require gasoline imports as of June of this year, under the Dangote refinery’s established plans.

Additionally, Dangote has claimed that his refinery could supply all of West Africa’s demands for gasoline and diesel, as well as aviation fuel. Speaking at the Africa CEO Forum Annual Summit in Kigali, he expressed hope for changing the continent’s energy situation.

“Right now, Nigeria has no cause to import anything apart from gasoline (petrol) and by sometime in June, within the next four or five weeks, Nigeria shouldn’t import anything like gasoline; not one drop of a litre,” the billionaire had declared.

Nigeria has experienced a decline in crude oil production in recent years as a result of rising crude oil theft incidents, the departure of oil majors from the nation, and heightened unrest in the Niger Delta.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) was forced to lower its 2024 production allotment due to Nigeria’s recent inability to meet its 1.75 mbpd OPEC output quota for 2023.

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Food prices drive second straight monthly hike in Nigeria’s inflation

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According to official statistics released on Friday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the second consecutive month in October, rising to 33.88% in annual terms from 32.70% in September, mostly as a result of increasing food costs.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

As the effects of the naira devaluation started to lessen in July of this year, a slew of hikes in the price of petroleum and devastating floods that destroyed crops once again exacerbated pricing pressures, making the greatest cost-of-living crisis in decades worse in Africa’s most populous country.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil prompted food inflation to surge from 37.77% in October to 39.16% year over year.

This year, more than 1.5 million hectares of agriculture have been damaged by torrential rain and floods in 29 of Nigeria’s 36 states, leaving millions hungry and displacing large numbers of people.

In an effort to curb inflation, the central bank has raised interest rates five times this year. On November 26, it is expected to make its final rate decision of the year.

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MTN financial report reveals drop in group service revenue

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Due to operational difficulties in Sudan and the depreciation of the Nigerian naira, MTN Group, Africa’s largest telecom provider, announced on Thursday an 18.5% decline in service revenue for the third quarter that concluded on September 30.

With 288 million users in 17 African regions, MTN said that its group service revenue dropped from 156.3 billion rand ($6.99 billion) in the same quarter of the previous year to 127.4 billion rand.

Despite stating that “the naira was less volatile on a sequential basis in Q3 than in preceding quarters,” the business reported a 48.7% decline in MTN Nigeria’s income due to the currency’s depreciation.

Due to a stronger Ugandan shilling than the previous year, Uganda’s largest contributor, MTN South Africa (MTN SA), expanded by a meagre 3.3%.

Due to “subscriber registration regulations in Nigeria and a decline in users in Sudan, where the conflict has displaced millions of people,” the business reported that its subscriber base increased by 1.6% to 288 million.

Given the higher demand in Nigeria despite the legal obstacles, MTN plans to increase its capital expenditures, which it expects would total between 28 and 33 billion rand for the entire year.

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