For the second consecutive meeting, Ghana’s central bank kept its main interest rate at 29% on Monday, citing a slowdown in inflation caused by the local cedi’s drop.
The producer of cocoa, gold, and oil in West Africa has been restructuring its loans in an attempt to recover from the worst economic crisis in a generation. The company defaulted on the majority of its external borrowing in December 2022.
“The latest forecast shows a slightly elevated inflation profile on account of recent exchange rate pressures,” Bank of Ghana Governor Ernest Addison told a news conference, adding that inflation was expected to fall to between 13% and 17% by the end of 2024.
Although consumer inflation decreased somewhat from 25.8% in March to 25.0% year over year last month, it is still much above than the central bank’s 8% objective, with a 2 percentage point error margin.
Addison stated that while speculative foreign exchange purchases have weakened the cedi, the central bank still had sufficient reserves to stabilize the market. The University of Ghana’s Godfred Alufar Bokpin, a professor of finance, stated that with the cedi’s present risks and the upcoming general election later this year, there was little room to loosen monetary policy.
Ghana is presently examining before signing a draft memorandum of agreement that it received last week from its bilateral creditors, which include China and France, to restructure $5.4 billion in debt.
Once approved, the agreement will allow the executive board of the International Monetary Fund to convene the following month to authorize the payment of $360 million from the nation’s $3 billion bailout program, which Addison claimed removed a great deal of doubt.
“We are very happy and quite certain that the Fund meeting will happen in June,” Addison told Reuters on Monday.
Apart from the restructuring agreements with official creditors, Ghana is attempting to reach an agreement with holders of international bonds worth approximately $13 billion. Its local debt has mostly been adjusted.