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Investors’ wealth drops by $968 million on Nairobi Securities Exchange

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In the last two weeks, investors at the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) have taken profits, which has reduced investor wealth by Ksh127.4 billion ($968.8 million) while bank stocks have been the most affected as their prices have dropped even though the shares are still eligible for final rewards.

By March 27, investors’ wealth on the NSE had reached a one-year high of Ksh1.84 trillion ($14 million). This was due to sharp gains in bank stocks as the lenders finished reporting for the full year that ended in December 2023.

The market capitalization, which is a measure of how wealthy investors are, has now dropped to Ksh1.712 trillion ($13 billion). Analysts say this is because people are taking profits, which has skewed the market by making more shares available than people want to buy. Because of this, share prices have gone down.

Most of the stocks in the banking sector hit multi-month highs at the end of March. Since March 27, their market value has dropped by Ksh44.42 billion, bringing it down to Ksh686.2 billion.

Safaricom’s market value has dropped by Ksh94.2 billion since the end of March, to Ksh679.1 billion. This is after rising in March before the book closed on a Ksh0.55 share interim payment. The telco’s share price dropped from Ksh19.30 on March 27 to Ksh16.95 on Tuesday.

“We have seen increased offers on the trading board, without the offsetting bids, hence the price trend. Broadly, it is about investors weighing the time value of their money, given that they can get higher yields on fixed-income securities,” said Ronnie Chokaa, an analyst at AIB-AXYS Africa.

Together, the rise in prices in March and the strengthening of the shilling against the dollar made it very appealing for foreign buyers to sell their shares. If the shilling is stronger when you leave the market than when you joined it, you get more dollars back on your shares because foreign investors get more dollars per shilling.

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Dangote refinery begins petroleum sales to West Africa

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In an indication to traders that the activities of its mega-refinery might soon disrupt regional fuel markets, Nigeria’s private Dangote Petroleum Refinery has started exporting refined petroleum products to neighbouring West African nations.

According to a Bloomberg story on Tuesday, a tanker had transported a consignment of petrol from the Dangote Petroleum Refinery to seas off the coast of Togo, a nearby West African nation. The article cited data from Vortexa, Kpler, Precise Intelligence, a port report, and a ship-tracking tool.

According to the source, a CL Jane Austen recently departed west after loading over 300,000 barrels from Dangote.

Recall that Mustapha Abdul-Hamid, the chairman of the Ghana National Petroleum Authority, stated last month that the nation is thinking of purchasing petroleum products from the Dangote refinery in order to reduce the approximately $400 million it spends each month on more costly exports from Europe.

Speaking at the OTL Africa Downstream Oil Conference in Lagos, the chairman of NPA, Ghana, said that by eliminating freight expenses, buying from Nigeria instead of Europe will lower the cost of other products and services.

“If the refinery reaches 650,000bpd a day capacity, all that volume cannot be consumed by Nigeria alone, so instead of us importing as we do right now from Rotterdam, it will be much easier for us to import from Nigeria and I believe that will bring down our prices,” Hamid said.

Two weeks ago, it was announced that the refinery would start exporting fuel to Namibia, Angola, and South Africa. Four more African nations—Niger Republic, Chad, Burkina Faso, and Central Africa Republic—had also begun talks with the refinery, it was said.

According to a very reliable source who spoke directly to one of our reporters, the management of the refinery with a capacity of 650,000 barrels per day was in the advanced stages of negotiations with the nations to begin lifting petroleum.

“I can confirm to you that talks are actually at the advanced stage with Ghana, Angola, Namibia, and South Africa, while the initial discussion is coming up with Niger, Chad, Burkina Faso, and the Central African Republic,” the source said.

The petroleum product shipment is currently floating off the coast of Lome, which is a well-liked location for ship-to-ship transfers, according to the source.

Furthermore, the final destination of the cargo of the CL Jane Austen is uncertain.

Despite being off Togo, the region is frequently utilised for ship-to-ship transfers, thus the gasoline may eventually be transported elsewhere.

“While the shipment is tiny in the context of the global gasoline market, it signals the ramp-up of Dangote’s production and the potential to export significant volumes of gasoline beyond Nigeria, which could upend regional markets.”

Last month, the refinery sent its first shipment of petrol by sea to Lagos, a neighbouring commercial centre.

Under the regulatory statute, the Federal Government last month terminated the state-owned oil company’s monopoly on purchasing gasoline from the plant for domestic use, but it has permitted the ongoing importation of fuel from the US and Europe.

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Pension withdrawal hits $2.8 billion after reform

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According to South Africa’s tax department, pension withdrawals have increased to 49.6 billion rand ($2.8 billion) in the 11 weeks after a law that permits partial withdrawals before retirement went into force.

On October 11, the South African Revenue Service said that since the reform on September 1, 21.4 billion rand had been disbursed.

The goal of the “two-pot” pension reform is to encourage long-term retirement savings while providing flexibility to members who are experiencing financial difficulties.

It is anticipated to increase the government’s tax revenue and stimulate economic growth in the latter months of 2024.

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