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Cyberattacks cost financial institutions $12 billion over 20 years— IMF

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According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), banks around the world have lost $12 billion to cyberattacks over the last 20 years. This was written up by the international group in a document called “Global Financial Stability Report, April 2024.”

The multilateral body says that the financial sector is very vulnerable to cyber risk. It also says that about one-fifth of all cyber events that have happened in the last twenty years have affected the financial sector, with banks being the most common targets followed by insurers and asset managers. The loss recorded by financial institutions since 2020 stood at $2.5 billion.

“Financial firms have reported significant direct losses, totalling almost $12 billion since 2004 and $2.5 billion since 2020.

“Financial institutions in advanced economies, particularly in the United States, have been more exposed to cyber incidents than firms in emerging market and developing economies.

“JP Morgan Chase, for example, the largest US bank, recently reported experiencing 45 billion cyber events per day while spending $15 billion every year and employing 62,000 technologists, many focused on cyber-security,” IMF stated.

“A cyber incident at a financial institution or at a country’s critical infrastructure could generate macro financial stability risks through three key channels: loss of confidence, lack of substitutes for the services rendered, and interconnectedness.

“While cyber incidents thus far have not been systemic, ongoing rapid digital transformation and technological innovation (such as artificial intelligence) and heightened global geopolitical tensions exacerbate the risk,” the report added.

IMF said direct losses from cyber incidents reported by firms have thus far been generally modest but could become very large.

“Based on available data, the median reported direct loss to a firm from all cyber incidents has been about $0.4 million, and three-fourths of the reported losses are below $2.8 million.

“Although losses from malicious incidents have been more than five times as large as those from nonmalicious incidents, at around $0.5 million, the magnitude of losses in absolute terms has been generally modest as well.

“For example, most cyber extortions, such as ransomware attacks, or malicious data breaches have resulted in losses of up to $12 million.”

The 2023 Africa Financial Industry Barometer, which was made with the help of the Africa Financial Industry Summit and Deloitte, says that 97% of executives at Africa’s largest banks think cybercrime is a major danger.

The study also reveals biggest problems that African financial institutions face are problems with the economy as a whole, unstable politics and society, and safety risks.

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Nigeria: Marketers predict further price cut as another refinery begins operations

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Oil marketers and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority expect refined petroleum product prices to reduce as another public refinery in Warri begins operations.

The marketers made the prediction when the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited launched the 125,000-barrel-per-day Delta State WRPC. NNPCL also wants to export locally refined goods for foreign cash. Last month, the 60,000-barrel-per-day Port Harcourt Refinery in Rivers State began operations.

During an inspection tour of the facility on Monday, the NNPCL Group Chief Executive Officer, Mele Kyari, explained that the inspection aimed to show Nigerians the level of work completed so far.

During a tour with NMDPRA CEO Farouk Ahmed and NNPC Board Chairman Pius Akinyelure, Kyari said that while facility repairs were not yet 100% complete, refining operations had begun and would produce straight-run kerosene, diesel and naphtha.

In a statement commemorating the milestone, President Bola Tinubu stated the plant is functioning at 60% or 75,000 barrels per day.

Kyari said, “We are taking you through our plant. This plant is running. Although it is not 100 per cent complete, we are still in the process. Many people think these things are not real. They think real things are not possible in this country. We want you to see that this is real.”

Since some of these goods would be shipped to foreign markets, he said, the reopening of the Warri refinery will help the country become a net exporter of petroleum products.

“Secondly, this plant had three stages; we have started plant one, which we call Area One. It can produce AGO (diesel), kerosene, naphtha, and a blend of crude oil. These are high-grade quality products required in the country, and we may need to export them. So this will give us cash, this company will make money and the promise of Mr President that this country must be a net exporter of petroleum products is already happening. Some of these products will go into the international market.

“Most importantly, I must put on record that Mr President believes that we can get this to work and get them to start and gave us the charge that we must start all three refineries. It’s already happening; we have started the 60,000 barrels per day refinery, and Area One of the Warri refinery is already working. Other plants that would produce PMS are being streamed and they would also come alive.

Mustapha Zarma, the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria’s National Operations Controller, stated that the rivalry in the downstream oil industry will become more fierce.

There will undoubtedly be a further decrease in pricing if the plant begins producing goods in bulk, he stated. This is because the market will ultimately be influenced by market forces and there will be fierce rivalry.

Until recently, none of Nigeria’s publicly owned refineries has worked to capacity for years, despite several investments to revive them. The failure of the government to revive them contributed to the high level of national anticipation surrounding the Dangote refinery whose operations appear to have revolutionalised the industry.

The refinery will concentrate on manufacturing and storing essential goods, such as heavy and light naphtha, automotive petrol oil and straight-run kerosene.

The country’s first fully owned refinery, the WRPC, was put into service in 1978 and is situated in Warri, Delta State, Nigeria. It was first built to process 100,000 barrels of crude oil a day, but in 1987 it was updated to process 125,000 barrels.

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Kenya: Consumer inflation rises to 3.0% from 2.8%

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Kenya’s statistics agency said on Tuesday that Kenya’s consumer price inflation increased slightly to 3.0% year-over-year in December from 2.8% the previous month.

According to a release from the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, monthly inflation was 0.6%, down from 0.3% in November. Kenya aims to have a medium-term inflation rate of 2.5% to 7.5%.

With inflation under control, Kenya’s central bank said there was an opportunity for looser policy to assist economic development, lowering its benchmark lending rate by a larger-than-expected 75 basis points to 11.25% on December 5.

 

Kenya’s GDP expanded by 5.2% in 2023, up from 4.8% in 2022, thanks to a recovery in agriculture and a modest increase in services. Household consumption accounted for 70% of the growth on the demand side, while services and agriculture accounted for 69% and 23% of the growth, respectively, on the supply side.

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