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Nigeria records over $1.5bn FDI in few days amid Naira gains 

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Following recent gains in the country’s currency, the  Naira, Nigeria’s Central Bank (CBN) has claimed that over $1.5bn came into the Nigerian economy over the past few days.

The claim is an indication that the CBN’s monetary policy efforts are beginning to yield results as the Naira continues to strengthen significantly against the US dollar in recent weeks, exchanging for as low as ₦1,200 during the week from a peak of about ₦1,800 per USD.

According to Ali, in the Autonomous Foreign Exchange market, the naira has also been making gains. On Friday, it was trading at N1,309/$1, down from N1,611/$1 in the second week of March 2024.

This information was released in a statement made available on Friday evening by Mrs. Sidi Ali, the acting director of the CBN’s corporate communications department. She pointed out that information the bank had access to suggested the inflows resulted from its deliberate efforts to stabilize the foreign currency market.

 

Some of the recent monetary policies include harmonising the nation’s currency rate in June last year, which led to the naira depreciating to more than 1,800/$ on the official market. Also earlier in the week on Monday, the CBN convened its 294th MPC meeting, during which it increased the benchmark interest rate by 2% to 24.75%. Before that, in February, it increased the loan rate by 4% to 22.75%.

On Wednesday, the bank also held an auction of N1.64 trillion in Treasury Bills, with stop rates for the 91-day, 182-day, and 364-day tenors of 16.24%, 17%, and 21.124%, respectively.

Ali also gave assurance that the Cardoso-led CBN would continue to be dedicated to maintaining market stability and the proper valuation of the Naira relative to other major currencies globally, even if he acknowledged that Thursday’s rate showed the naira was moving in the correct path.

 

There were concerns expressed over the decision to raise interest rates. However, the governor of the central bank maintained that the increase would only be temporary and that the goal was to stabilize the economy by bringing interest rates up to pace with the nation’s current inflation rate.

“While the increase in interest rate may have tendencies toward strangulating the economy, with the foreign exchange rate coming down, that also helps to moderate it overall.

“And as I said earlier, you would expect that this would not be too long drawn; at least I would hope so. We are getting towards a situation where the exchange rate is moderating, and we are expecting it to moderate and then it finds a level that, quite frankly, is sustainable. This would involve huge collaboration with the fiscal side because a lot of that cannot just rely on the monetary side alone,” the governor said.

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Food prices drive second straight monthly hike in Nigeria’s inflation

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According to official statistics released on Friday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the second consecutive month in October, rising to 33.88% in annual terms from 32.70% in September, mostly as a result of increasing food costs.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

As the effects of the naira devaluation started to lessen in July of this year, a slew of hikes in the price of petroleum and devastating floods that destroyed crops once again exacerbated pricing pressures, making the greatest cost-of-living crisis in decades worse in Africa’s most populous country.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil prompted food inflation to surge from 37.77% in October to 39.16% year over year.

This year, more than 1.5 million hectares of agriculture have been damaged by torrential rain and floods in 29 of Nigeria’s 36 states, leaving millions hungry and displacing large numbers of people.

In an effort to curb inflation, the central bank has raised interest rates five times this year. On November 26, it is expected to make its final rate decision of the year.

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MTN financial report reveals drop in group service revenue

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Due to operational difficulties in Sudan and the depreciation of the Nigerian naira, MTN Group, Africa’s largest telecom provider, announced on Thursday an 18.5% decline in service revenue for the third quarter that concluded on September 30.

With 288 million users in 17 African regions, MTN said that its group service revenue dropped from 156.3 billion rand ($6.99 billion) in the same quarter of the previous year to 127.4 billion rand.

Despite stating that “the naira was less volatile on a sequential basis in Q3 than in preceding quarters,” the business reported a 48.7% decline in MTN Nigeria’s income due to the currency’s depreciation.

Due to a stronger Ugandan shilling than the previous year, Uganda’s largest contributor, MTN South Africa (MTN SA), expanded by a meagre 3.3%.

Due to “subscriber registration regulations in Nigeria and a decline in users in Sudan, where the conflict has displaced millions of people,” the business reported that its subscriber base increased by 1.6% to 288 million.

Given the higher demand in Nigeria despite the legal obstacles, MTN plans to increase its capital expenditures, which it expects would total between 28 and 33 billion rand for the entire year.

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