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Nigeria records over $1.5bn FDI in few days amid Naira gains 

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Following recent gains in the country’s currency, the  Naira, Nigeria’s Central Bank (CBN) has claimed that over $1.5bn came into the Nigerian economy over the past few days.

The claim is an indication that the CBN’s monetary policy efforts are beginning to yield results as the Naira continues to strengthen significantly against the US dollar in recent weeks, exchanging for as low as ₦1,200 during the week from a peak of about ₦1,800 per USD.

According to Ali, in the Autonomous Foreign Exchange market, the naira has also been making gains. On Friday, it was trading at N1,309/$1, down from N1,611/$1 in the second week of March 2024.

This information was released in a statement made available on Friday evening by Mrs. Sidi Ali, the acting director of the CBN’s corporate communications department. She pointed out that information the bank had access to suggested the inflows resulted from its deliberate efforts to stabilize the foreign currency market.

 

Some of the recent monetary policies include harmonising the nation’s currency rate in June last year, which led to the naira depreciating to more than 1,800/$ on the official market. Also earlier in the week on Monday, the CBN convened its 294th MPC meeting, during which it increased the benchmark interest rate by 2% to 24.75%. Before that, in February, it increased the loan rate by 4% to 22.75%.

On Wednesday, the bank also held an auction of N1.64 trillion in Treasury Bills, with stop rates for the 91-day, 182-day, and 364-day tenors of 16.24%, 17%, and 21.124%, respectively.

Ali also gave assurance that the Cardoso-led CBN would continue to be dedicated to maintaining market stability and the proper valuation of the Naira relative to other major currencies globally, even if he acknowledged that Thursday’s rate showed the naira was moving in the correct path.

 

There were concerns expressed over the decision to raise interest rates. However, the governor of the central bank maintained that the increase would only be temporary and that the goal was to stabilize the economy by bringing interest rates up to pace with the nation’s current inflation rate.

“While the increase in interest rate may have tendencies toward strangulating the economy, with the foreign exchange rate coming down, that also helps to moderate it overall.

“And as I said earlier, you would expect that this would not be too long drawn; at least I would hope so. We are getting towards a situation where the exchange rate is moderating, and we are expecting it to moderate and then it finds a level that, quite frankly, is sustainable. This would involve huge collaboration with the fiscal side because a lot of that cannot just rely on the monetary side alone,” the governor said.

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Nigeria: Marketers predict further price cut as another refinery begins operations

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Oil marketers and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority expect refined petroleum product prices to reduce as another public refinery in Warri begins operations.

The marketers made the prediction when the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited launched the 125,000-barrel-per-day Delta State WRPC. NNPCL also wants to export locally refined goods for foreign cash. Last month, the 60,000-barrel-per-day Port Harcourt Refinery in Rivers State began operations.

During an inspection tour of the facility on Monday, the NNPCL Group Chief Executive Officer, Mele Kyari, explained that the inspection aimed to show Nigerians the level of work completed so far.

During a tour with NMDPRA CEO Farouk Ahmed and NNPC Board Chairman Pius Akinyelure, Kyari said that while facility repairs were not yet 100% complete, refining operations had begun and would produce straight-run kerosene, diesel and naphtha.

In a statement commemorating the milestone, President Bola Tinubu stated the plant is functioning at 60% or 75,000 barrels per day.

Kyari said, “We are taking you through our plant. This plant is running. Although it is not 100 per cent complete, we are still in the process. Many people think these things are not real. They think real things are not possible in this country. We want you to see that this is real.”

Since some of these goods would be shipped to foreign markets, he said, the reopening of the Warri refinery will help the country become a net exporter of petroleum products.

“Secondly, this plant had three stages; we have started plant one, which we call Area One. It can produce AGO (diesel), kerosene, naphtha, and a blend of crude oil. These are high-grade quality products required in the country, and we may need to export them. So this will give us cash, this company will make money and the promise of Mr President that this country must be a net exporter of petroleum products is already happening. Some of these products will go into the international market.

“Most importantly, I must put on record that Mr President believes that we can get this to work and get them to start and gave us the charge that we must start all three refineries. It’s already happening; we have started the 60,000 barrels per day refinery, and Area One of the Warri refinery is already working. Other plants that would produce PMS are being streamed and they would also come alive.

Mustapha Zarma, the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria’s National Operations Controller, stated that the rivalry in the downstream oil industry will become more fierce.

There will undoubtedly be a further decrease in pricing if the plant begins producing goods in bulk, he stated. This is because the market will ultimately be influenced by market forces and there will be fierce rivalry.

Until recently, none of Nigeria’s publicly owned refineries has worked to capacity for years, despite several investments to revive them. The failure of the government to revive them contributed to the high level of national anticipation surrounding the Dangote refinery whose operations appear to have revolutionalised the industry.

The refinery will concentrate on manufacturing and storing essential goods, such as heavy and light naphtha, automotive petrol oil and straight-run kerosene.

The country’s first fully owned refinery, the WRPC, was put into service in 1978 and is situated in Warri, Delta State, Nigeria. It was first built to process 100,000 barrels of crude oil a day, but in 1987 it was updated to process 125,000 barrels.

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Kenya: Consumer inflation rises to 3.0% from 2.8%

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Kenya’s statistics agency said on Tuesday that Kenya’s consumer price inflation increased slightly to 3.0% year-over-year in December from 2.8% the previous month.

According to a release from the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, monthly inflation was 0.6%, down from 0.3% in November. Kenya aims to have a medium-term inflation rate of 2.5% to 7.5%.

With inflation under control, Kenya’s central bank said there was an opportunity for looser policy to assist economic development, lowering its benchmark lending rate by a larger-than-expected 75 basis points to 11.25% on December 5.

 

Kenya’s GDP expanded by 5.2% in 2023, up from 4.8% in 2022, thanks to a recovery in agriculture and a modest increase in services. Household consumption accounted for 70% of the growth on the demand side, while services and agriculture accounted for 69% and 23% of the growth, respectively, on the supply side.

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