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Nigeria plans new borrowing via Eurobond in June

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Following a two-year hiatus, Nigeria is returning to the international bond market with the first Eurobond issue since 2022. The nation issued $1.25 billion worth of Eurobonds in March 2022.

For guidance on its upcoming Eurobond issuance, the Nigerian government has enlisted the services of top international investment banks, such as Citibank NA, JPMorgan Chase & Co., and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Additionally, it hired Chapel Hill Denham, a financial advisory firm based in Lagos, and Standard Chartered Bank to provide consultation on this project.

According to Bloomberg and sources familiar with the deal, this development highlights Africa’s top oil-producing country’s intention to re-engage with international financial markets in order to support its fiscal budget.

The report mentioned that the size of the Eurobond offer, which is anticipated before June, has not yet been decided. The individuals requesting anonymity stated that they were not authorized to make public comments on the subject. It went on to say that the country might try to get up to $1 billion in foreign loans by the year 2024.

Nigeria needs this outside funding in order to finance a significant budget deficit, as indicated by President Bola Tinubu’s N28.8 trillion ($18 billion) spending plan for 2024, which aims to create a fiscal shortfall of N9.8 trillion, or 3.8% of GDP. It is anticipated that global financial institutions and local and international borrowing will help close the deficit.

In December of last year, Nigeria’s Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Wale Edun, made a suggestion that the country might consider issuing Eurobonds later this year if the rates were significantly lower. He said that major issuers had already informed Nigeria of the possibility.

He noted, “It is a matter of discussion at the moment, but we think we will get the support because we are continuing with our reforms.”

President Tinubu has actively pursued measures to revive foreign investment inflows into Nigeria since taking office in May 2023. These measures include the contentious removal of fuel subsidies, reducing the gap between the Central Bank’s policy rate and the yields on government securities, and carrying out two naira devaluations to promote a more flexible exchange rate regime.

In a related development, the Debt Management Office’s most recent circular states that the government intends to borrow N450 billion from its third FGN bond auction in 2024. Compared to the N2.5 trillion target from the same bond auction the previous month, this amount is 82% lower.

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Nigeria: Marketers predict further price cut as another refinery begins operations

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Oil marketers and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority expect refined petroleum product prices to reduce as another public refinery in Warri begins operations.

The marketers made the prediction when the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited launched the 125,000-barrel-per-day Delta State WRPC. NNPCL also wants to export locally refined goods for foreign cash. Last month, the 60,000-barrel-per-day Port Harcourt Refinery in Rivers State began operations.

During an inspection tour of the facility on Monday, the NNPCL Group Chief Executive Officer, Mele Kyari, explained that the inspection aimed to show Nigerians the level of work completed so far.

During a tour with NMDPRA CEO Farouk Ahmed and NNPC Board Chairman Pius Akinyelure, Kyari said that while facility repairs were not yet 100% complete, refining operations had begun and would produce straight-run kerosene, diesel and naphtha.

In a statement commemorating the milestone, President Bola Tinubu stated the plant is functioning at 60% or 75,000 barrels per day.

Kyari said, “We are taking you through our plant. This plant is running. Although it is not 100 per cent complete, we are still in the process. Many people think these things are not real. They think real things are not possible in this country. We want you to see that this is real.”

Since some of these goods would be shipped to foreign markets, he said, the reopening of the Warri refinery will help the country become a net exporter of petroleum products.

“Secondly, this plant had three stages; we have started plant one, which we call Area One. It can produce AGO (diesel), kerosene, naphtha, and a blend of crude oil. These are high-grade quality products required in the country, and we may need to export them. So this will give us cash, this company will make money and the promise of Mr President that this country must be a net exporter of petroleum products is already happening. Some of these products will go into the international market.

“Most importantly, I must put on record that Mr President believes that we can get this to work and get them to start and gave us the charge that we must start all three refineries. It’s already happening; we have started the 60,000 barrels per day refinery, and Area One of the Warri refinery is already working. Other plants that would produce PMS are being streamed and they would also come alive.

Mustapha Zarma, the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria’s National Operations Controller, stated that the rivalry in the downstream oil industry will become more fierce.

There will undoubtedly be a further decrease in pricing if the plant begins producing goods in bulk, he stated. This is because the market will ultimately be influenced by market forces and there will be fierce rivalry.

Until recently, none of Nigeria’s publicly owned refineries has worked to capacity for years, despite several investments to revive them. The failure of the government to revive them contributed to the high level of national anticipation surrounding the Dangote refinery whose operations appear to have revolutionalised the industry.

The refinery will concentrate on manufacturing and storing essential goods, such as heavy and light naphtha, automotive petrol oil and straight-run kerosene.

The country’s first fully owned refinery, the WRPC, was put into service in 1978 and is situated in Warri, Delta State, Nigeria. It was first built to process 100,000 barrels of crude oil a day, but in 1987 it was updated to process 125,000 barrels.

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Kenya: Consumer inflation rises to 3.0% from 2.8%

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Kenya’s statistics agency said on Tuesday that Kenya’s consumer price inflation increased slightly to 3.0% year-over-year in December from 2.8% the previous month.

According to a release from the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, monthly inflation was 0.6%, down from 0.3% in November. Kenya aims to have a medium-term inflation rate of 2.5% to 7.5%.

With inflation under control, Kenya’s central bank said there was an opportunity for looser policy to assist economic development, lowering its benchmark lending rate by a larger-than-expected 75 basis points to 11.25% on December 5.

 

Kenya’s GDP expanded by 5.2% in 2023, up from 4.8% in 2022, thanks to a recovery in agriculture and a modest increase in services. Household consumption accounted for 70% of the growth on the demand side, while services and agriculture accounted for 69% and 23% of the growth, respectively, on the supply side.

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