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UNCTAD concerned over disruption of trade on major sea routes

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The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) expressed alarm over the mounting disruptions to business, which have been linked to a 42% reduction in global trade volumes and an average $500 increase in container market freight charges.

The Suez Canal handled 12–15% of world trade in 2023, according to UNCTAD’s February 2024 report Navigating Troubled Waters. This was because the majority of ships rerouted or ceased operations as a result of Houthi rebel attacks in Yemen.

Shippers continue to have serious concerns about the Suez Canal, a vital canal that connects the Mediterranean Sea to the Red Sea. As a result, the vessels have been rerouted along a longer route that spans more than 1,300 kilometres through Southern Africa.

“Weekly container ship transits have fallen by 67 percent. Tanker transits and gas carriers have also seen major declines,” the report said.

The UN agency added that there have been significant changes in the oil and grain trade as a result of the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and its effects on the Black Sea.

“The $500 surge in average container spot freight rates during the last week of December was the highest-ever weekly increase. Average container shipping spot rates from Shanghai have more than doubled (up 122 percent) since early December. Rates from Shanghai to Europe have more than tripled (up 256 percent). Rates to the US west coast increased by 162 percent,” the report added.

Egypt receives a significant amount of its foreign exchange revenue from the Suez Canal; in the fiscal year 2022–2023, it contributed $9.4 billion, or almost 2.3 percent, of its GDP.

Suez Canal revenues have reportedly dropped by 40% as a result of the Red Sea situation. A worsening scenario in Egypt can affect Ethiopia and Sudan, in addition to other nations in the area.

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Food prices drive second straight monthly hike in Nigeria’s inflation

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According to official statistics released on Friday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the second consecutive month in October, rising to 33.88% in annual terms from 32.70% in September, mostly as a result of increasing food costs.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

As the effects of the naira devaluation started to lessen in July of this year, a slew of hikes in the price of petroleum and devastating floods that destroyed crops once again exacerbated pricing pressures, making the greatest cost-of-living crisis in decades worse in Africa’s most populous country.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil prompted food inflation to surge from 37.77% in October to 39.16% year over year.

This year, more than 1.5 million hectares of agriculture have been damaged by torrential rain and floods in 29 of Nigeria’s 36 states, leaving millions hungry and displacing large numbers of people.

In an effort to curb inflation, the central bank has raised interest rates five times this year. On November 26, it is expected to make its final rate decision of the year.

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MTN financial report reveals drop in group service revenue

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Due to operational difficulties in Sudan and the depreciation of the Nigerian naira, MTN Group, Africa’s largest telecom provider, announced on Thursday an 18.5% decline in service revenue for the third quarter that concluded on September 30.

With 288 million users in 17 African regions, MTN said that its group service revenue dropped from 156.3 billion rand ($6.99 billion) in the same quarter of the previous year to 127.4 billion rand.

Despite stating that “the naira was less volatile on a sequential basis in Q3 than in preceding quarters,” the business reported a 48.7% decline in MTN Nigeria’s income due to the currency’s depreciation.

Due to a stronger Ugandan shilling than the previous year, Uganda’s largest contributor, MTN South Africa (MTN SA), expanded by a meagre 3.3%.

Due to “subscriber registration regulations in Nigeria and a decline in users in Sudan, where the conflict has displaced millions of people,” the business reported that its subscriber base increased by 1.6% to 288 million.

Given the higher demand in Nigeria despite the legal obstacles, MTN plans to increase its capital expenditures, which it expects would total between 28 and 33 billion rand for the entire year.

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