The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), during its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting on Tuesday, raised its benchmark interest rate, the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), by 400 basis points from 18.75 percent to 22.75 percent.
The CBN also increased the cash reserve ratio (CRR) of banks to 45% from 32% and modified the Asymmetric Corridor around the MPR to +100/-700 from +100/-300. Nonetheless, the MPC kept the liquidity ratio at thirty percent.
According to Cardoso, the decision to abruptly increase the MPR was made in order to address the system’s high rate of inflation and substantial liquidity, as the inflation rate surged further in January to hit 29.90% annually and its January 2024 Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which also noted that food inflation rose to 35.41 percent during that time from 33.93 percent in December 2023.
He said, “The committee’s decisions were centred on inflationary and exchange pressures, projected inflation and rising inflation expectations.
“Members were concerned about the persistent rise in the level of inflation and emphasised their commitment to reverse the trend, as the balance of risks leans towards rising inflation.
“The committee, however, acknowledged the trade-off between the pursuit of output growth and taming inflation but was convinced that an enduring output expansion is possible only in an environment of stable economics.
“The balance of the argument was in favour of a considerable rate hike to drive down inflation substantially.”
Financial commentators have predicted that the MPR’s decision will result in increased foreign investment inflows, an appreciation of the naira, and higher interest rates in the fixed income markets.
There is a chance that the rise in MPR may result in higher borrowing costs and less financing to the real sector, which might lead to slower growth in the industrial and agricultural sectors.