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IMF sees progress on the Egypt credit programme despite Gaza’s pressure

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has reported that talks to expand Egypt’s loan programme are going well.

The IMF stated that Egypt needed a “very comprehensive support package” to deal with its economic problems, which include pressure from the Gaza conflict.

The principal programme revisions under the combined first and second reviews of Egypt’s current $3 billion loan were agreed upon by IMF staff and Egyptian authorities, according to IMF spokesperson Julie Kozack at a routine news conference.

She also stated that “authorities have expressed a strong commitment” to these reforms and declined to discuss details of the Egypt package as the negotiations are continuing.

Kozack while responding to questions on the impact on the talks of challenges posed by the expected entry of Gaza refugees into Egypt, said, “There is a need to have a very comprehensive support package for Egypt, and we’re working very closely with both the Egyptian authorities and their partners to ensure that Egypt does not have any residual financing needs and also to ensure that the programme is able to ensure macroeconomic and financial stability in Egypt.”

The IMF later clarified in a statement that the comprehensive policy package would “support the economic reform programme” in Egypt.

Due to the effects of the Israel-Hamas conflict, the IMF revised down its GDP growth estimate for the Middle East and North Africa and opened a new tab for 2024, which is 2.9%, down 0.5 percentage points from October. Egypt’s projected 3.0% growth rate in 2024 was downgraded by 0.6 percentage points.

According to Kozack, the IMF is still keeping an eye on the financial effects of the attacks on the Red Sea and Suez Canal, which are causing trade flows to reroute around the Cape of Good Hope in South Africa and increase the duration and expense of Europe-Asia travel.

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VenturesNow

Food prices drive second straight monthly hike in Nigeria’s inflation

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According to official statistics released on Friday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the second consecutive month in October, rising to 33.88% in annual terms from 32.70% in September, mostly as a result of increasing food costs.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

As the effects of the naira devaluation started to lessen in July of this year, a slew of hikes in the price of petroleum and devastating floods that destroyed crops once again exacerbated pricing pressures, making the greatest cost-of-living crisis in decades worse in Africa’s most populous country.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil prompted food inflation to surge from 37.77% in October to 39.16% year over year.

This year, more than 1.5 million hectares of agriculture have been damaged by torrential rain and floods in 29 of Nigeria’s 36 states, leaving millions hungry and displacing large numbers of people.

In an effort to curb inflation, the central bank has raised interest rates five times this year. On November 26, it is expected to make its final rate decision of the year.

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MTN financial report reveals drop in group service revenue

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Due to operational difficulties in Sudan and the depreciation of the Nigerian naira, MTN Group, Africa’s largest telecom provider, announced on Thursday an 18.5% decline in service revenue for the third quarter that concluded on September 30.

With 288 million users in 17 African regions, MTN said that its group service revenue dropped from 156.3 billion rand ($6.99 billion) in the same quarter of the previous year to 127.4 billion rand.

Despite stating that “the naira was less volatile on a sequential basis in Q3 than in preceding quarters,” the business reported a 48.7% decline in MTN Nigeria’s income due to the currency’s depreciation.

Due to a stronger Ugandan shilling than the previous year, Uganda’s largest contributor, MTN South Africa (MTN SA), expanded by a meagre 3.3%.

Due to “subscriber registration regulations in Nigeria and a decline in users in Sudan, where the conflict has displaced millions of people,” the business reported that its subscriber base increased by 1.6% to 288 million.

Given the higher demand in Nigeria despite the legal obstacles, MTN plans to increase its capital expenditures, which it expects would total between 28 and 33 billion rand for the entire year.

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