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Behind the News

Behind the News: All the backstories to our major news this week

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Over the past week, there were many important stories from around the African continent, and we served you some of the most topical ones.

Here is a rundown of the backstories to some of the biggest news stories in Africa that we covered during the week:

South Africa is back at ICJ over Israel/Hamas war

Israel’s involvement in the continuing Hamas battle has brought South Africa back before the International Court of Justice (ICJ). Johannesburg requested a non-binding legal ruling from the World Court on Tuesday, declaring that Israel’s occupation of Palestinian territory is unlawful. As its lawyer began the second day of proceedings before the court in The Hague, South Africa contended that the declaration would aid in efforts to achieve a resolution.

South Africa filed an 84-page appeal in December, protesting Israel’s failure to provide the Gaza Strip with basic supplies such as food, water, fuel, medication, shelter, and other humanitarian help. Both South Africa and Israel are parties to the 1948 Genocide Convention, to which Israel is accused of violating its responsibilities.

Israel alleged that 1,200 people were killed in a cross-border attack on October 7 by Islamist militants from Hamas. Nearly 22,000 people have perished as a result of Israeli airstrikes and ground operations carried out in retaliation for the incident that sparked the conflict, according to Palestinian health sources.

Although there is little chance that South Africa’s file will have a significant impact on the war’s outcome, it does draw on the historical connections between the Palestinian people’s and black South Africans’ liberation struggles. Additionally, it indicates the nation’s intention to use a globally reputable group to contest the US-dominated international system, which it views as unjust to the interests of non-Western and African people.

It is also important to recognize that the nation has recently made an effort to establish itself as a prominent voice from Africa in the international arena. Examples of this include its role in the BRICS group of major emerging economies and its hosting of the 15th heads of state and government summit in Johannesburg last year.

Nigeria can’t afford an AfroBasket?

Barely weeks after its male football team exceeded expectations to reach the finals of the African Cup of Nations, Nigeria’s senior male basketball national team, the D’Tigers, withdrew from the 2025 FIBA AfroBasket qualifiers in Tunisia due to a lack of funds.

Each player in the football team received the Member of the Order of the Niger, one of the country’s highest honours, as well as a flat and a piece of land in the region around the capital. Ordinarily, the reward should suggest a degree of priority to sport and youth development, which are under the same ministry in Nigeria’s federal cabinet, particularly with funding, but the assumption might not be perfect.

According to the Nigeria Basketball Federation (NBBF), the “painful” withdrawal of the team from the window that could have given Nigeria another opportunity to qualify for the world championship was due to the inability of the Ministry of Sports to provide the federation with the needed funds for the qualifiers.

The situation, which has drawn concerns across boards, spotlighted sport administration and funds in the country, and continued unbalanced preference, football enjoys in the country at the detriment of other sports. Marilyn Ogoigbe, who plays for First Bank basketball club, lamented that NBBF officials cared less about the players, “a tournament they ought to have prepared for, and they decided to withdraw days before jump ball because of a lack of funds. What’s the ministry doing about it? I mean, they were able to sponsor the Super Eagles to the AFCON; why is basketball always different?”

In a real sense, however, football administration is not any better because of the wide popularity of the game over others. With Nigeria going through its worst economic crisis in decades and the citizens seeking solace from the biting effects of a surge in the cost of living, the withdrawal from the AfroBasket might mean a loss of opportunity for national consolation, howbeit temporary, as the Super Eagles AFCON heroics afforded.

The last-minute intervention by the association sending the team to the competition brought some relief. However, their loss, occasioned by largely late arrivals and poor preparation, is a direct consequence of the funding crisis.

The paradox of Zambia’s kwacha growth 

During the week, a report emerged that Zambia’s currency, the kwacha, has become Africa’s best-performing currency against the US dollar thus far this year.

The Bank of Zambia voted to raise the monetary policy rate by 1%, from 10% to 11%, at the Monetary Policy Committee meeting on November 20 and 21, 2023. This was a reaction to rising inflation that is still beyond the 6-8% goal range. As of the end of October, the rate of inflation was 12.6%, and it is anticipated to soar even higher upon the release of the November numbers.

The longest winning run for Zambia’s currency in almost a year has been bolstered by an unusually high interest rate hike and a directive requiring local banks to maintain higher reserves.  Since the Bank of Zambia raised the minimum reserve ratio for lenders on February 5, which restricted the flow of cash, the value of the kwacha has surged virtually daily. After the benchmark rate rose on February 14, the market’s rise gained even more momentum.

The London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) reports that since the decision to raise interest rates and reserve ratios for commercial banks earlier this month in order to reverse a decline in the value of the currency that had increased inflation, the kwacha has strengthened 13.8 percent to 22.8 percent versus the US dollar in 2024.

The Kwacha has undergone a number of structural modifications since 1967 in an effort to sustain public faith in the national currency while promoting economic activity. Among the noteworthy modifications are the following: the 1968–1974 currency structure; the 1973–1974 currency structure; the 1980 currency structure; the 1986–1991 currency structure; the 1992 currency structure; the 1996 currency structure; and the 2003 currency structure. However, the Kwacha was rebased in 2013 following the January 23, 2012, decision to re-denominate the national currency.

The global monetary tightening cycle caused serious problems for African currencies in 2023. The official currency rates for the Nigerian naira, Kenyan shilling, and South African rand saw considerable swings in December 2023, with an average decline of 27% from 25% in November. But Kwacha’s progress remains a sort of paradox as the country, which was the first African country to default on foreign debt and has struggled for debt restructuring under the G20 framework, is now in its fourth year, hindering foreign investment and contributing to the kwacha’s weakening.

ECOWAS withdraws sanctions on junta-led states

The regional bloc, the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), lifted, with immediate effects, economic sanctions on Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso on Saturday. The three countries, notably those under military juntas, along with Guinea, have been at diplomatic loggerheads with regional and international bodies under pressure for the return of democratic reigns.

At an extraordinary gathering at the State House in Abuja, the ECOWAS Authority of Heads of State and Government discussed the political, security, and peace conditions in the area for hours. After a number of penalties from international and regional organizations, the three have long considered the prospect of forming “the Alliance of Sahel States (AES),” a political and economic partnership.

The World Bank has warned that the most recent coup, which took place in Niger, would worsen issues related to the food markets of Nigeria and other West African countries. In the last three years, there have been five coups in the West African sub-region.

The lifting of the sanctions might be related to the need for regional economic revival given the border hostilities in the Sahel, as informal cross-border trading (ICBT) crossing customs borders is a booming economic factor in Africa, and West Africa in particular.

Behind the News

Behind the News: All the backstories to our major news this week

Published

on

Over the past week, many important stories from around the African continent were published, and we served you some of the most topical ones.

Here is a rundown of the backstories to some of the biggest news in Africa that we covered during the week:

Another look at Africa’s debt crisis

Conversations around Africa’s public debt were on the table during the week as Achim Steiner, administrator of the United Nations Development Programme, stated on Monday that the world’s poorest countries were unable to meet sustainable development targets because they had to prioritise debt payments over investments.

Addressing a gathering in Hamburg, Steiner asserted that the world financial crisis was impeding countries’ ability to accomplish the objectives, which include eradicating hunger and poverty, increasing access to healthcare and education, providing sustainable energy, and protecting biodiversity.

Since the COVID-19 pandemic’s pervasive effects on economies, the majority of the continent’s nations have suffered with both internal and international debt; yet, few have achieved much in the fight for debt restructuring under the G20 framework.

Numerous African nations, including Egypt, Tunisia, Nigeria, Ghana, Zambia, and others, are struggling with significant foreign debt. Together with Zambia and Ghana, Ethiopia will be a part of a thorough restructuring known as the “Common Framework.”

At the opening ceremony of the annual African Union summit in Ethiopia last year, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres made the case for changes to the international financial system’s structure to better meet the requirements of developing nations.

Africa’s whole external governmental debt as of 2021 was 726.55 billion USD. The amount of foreign public debt increased from 696.69 billion dollars in comparison to the previous year.

Concerns are being raised by the rising debt levels in Africa, which could not only hinder economic growth but also make repayment nearly difficult for many of these nations. This begs an important question: When does debt stop being beneficial and instead start to negatively impact a nation’s economic performance?

Kenya remains committed to Haiti, but what does it stand to gain?

Kenya will support an international anti-gang effort in Haiti next month by dispatching an additional 600 police officers there. Haiti’s prime minister was in Kenya to expedite the deployment of the military.

At least eleven countries have pledged to send more than 2,900 soldiers to participate in the Multinational Security Support (MSS), led by Kenya.
Kenya, whose participation in international peacekeeping missions is longstanding, declared earlier this year that it would be deploying 1,000 police personnel, citing as a starting point its assistance to a bordering country.

Approximately 600,000 individuals have been internally displaced due to gang conflict, and hundreds of thousands of aspiring migrants have been deported back to Haiti, where approximately 5 million people are facing extreme famine. October marks the end of the mission’s first 12-month term. As gang violence worsened in 2022, Haiti turned for the first time to foreign assistance.

Nevertheless, it failed to identify a leader prepared to assume the helm and numerous foreign governments were reluctant to back the unelected administration in the desperately poor nation.

Kenya gains significant political value by sending its troops to Haiti on the international scene. Kenya has gained international recognition as a trustworthy ally that is eager to assist other nations. The mission opens up various opportunities. Prior to deployment, Kenyan law enforcement forces will receive specialist training and equipment. In the long term, this will increase the force’s capacity. Of course, there are monetary rewards as the participating nations receive allocations of resources. Because troops will receive additional pay, officers are very interested in being deployed overseas.

Cameroon: ‘Healthy’ Biya remains out of sight

Cameroon’s president, Paul Biya can now be likened to the proverbial cat with nine lives as the 91-year-old has remained “healthy” following latest reports of his death during the week. Rumours have been circulating about Cameroonian President Paul Biya’s possible death in a military hospital in France due to his extended absence. This rumour stems from Biya’s prolonged absence following the September China-Africa Summit when he was anticipated to head back to Cameroon almost away.

As of November 6, 1982, Biya, who is 91 years old, has been in office for 42 years. He is the oldest head of state in Africa, the longest-lasting non-royal national leader worldwide, and the second-longest serving president overall. According to rumours, Biya’s oldest son Franck Emmanuel Biya may be named as his replacement for “continuity” in France.

Since its political independence from France and Britain in the early 1960s, Cameroon has only had two presidents. The country is currently dealing with two serious crises: a deadly Boko Haram insurgency in the north and a separatist conflict that has claimed thousands of lives.

President Biya is one of several long-serving African leaders, including Yoweri Museveni of Uganda, who has been in office since 1982, and Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo of Equatorial Guinea, Rwanda’s Paul Kagame is also gradually evolving into the group.

Things get tougher for embattled Kenyan Deputy President

During the week, the deputy president of Kenya was impeached by the National Assembly due to charges of corruption and abuse of power. In a vote held Tuesday night, lawmakers decisively decided to remove Rigathi Gachagua from office. The Senate will now decide what will happen to the deputy president.

Parliament adopted a proposal to remove Kenya’s deputy president from office, and on Wednesday, the matter was brought to the Senate for consideration. The National Assembly heard a nearly ninety-minute defence of troubled deputy president Rigathi Gachagua and his allies prior to the vote.

A surge of protests targeting President Ruto’s government has been occurring in Kenya over the last four months due to accusations of corruption made by certain lawmakers and government officials. High taxation and the parliament’s purported inability to act independently of the president were other issues that Kenyans objected to. Gachagua refutes the accusations made by certain lawmakers, who claim that the deputy president assisted in planning rallies against the government.

He supported Ruto in his election victory in 2022 and assisted in obtaining a sizable portion of the vote from the populated central Kenya region. Gachagua, however, has mentioned feeling marginalised in recent months, despite extensive claims in the local media that he and Ruto have strained political ties.

After widespread protests over unpopular tax increases in June and July that claimed more than 50 lives, Ruto sacked the majority of his cabinet and appointed members of the main opposition.

Gachagua infuriated many in Ruto’s coalition by comparing the government to a business and implying that people who supported the coalition had first claim to development projects and jobs in the public sector. Ruto has not yet publicly commented on the impeachment proceedings.

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Behind the News

Behind the News: All the backstories to our major news this week

Published

on

Over the past week, many important stories from around the African continent have been published, and we have served you some of the most topical ones.

Here is a rundown of the backstories of some of the biggest news in Africa that we covered during the week:

Musings on CBN rates across Africa: Ghana, Nigeria, and South Africa

During the week, many African countries announced monetary policy decisions. The Central Bank of Nigeria decided unanimously on Tuesday to raise its benchmark interest rate by an additional 50 basis points, to a new record high of 27.25%. This is the sixth hike in a row this year. The decision was made in an effort to reduce inflation, strengthen the naira, and draw in capital. Governor Olayemi Cardoso reaffirmed the bank’s commitment to controlling inflation and underlined how several rate hikes have contributed to its moderation.

Nigeria’s West Africa neighbour followed suit on Friday as the Bank of Ghana reduced its benchmark monetary policy rate by 200 points to 27% at a normal meeting. With inflation having slowed and disinflationary pressures mounting, this is the first decline in eight months and the steepest since March 2018. August 2024 saw a fifth consecutive month of decline in Ghana’s annual consumer inflation, which was still much higher than the central bank’s medium-term target range of 6% to 10%. The country’s annual inflation rate dropped to a nearly two-and-a-half-year low of 20.4% from 20.9% in July.

A week prior, as anticipated, the South African Reserve Bank decreased its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 8% after holding seven consecutive meetings at a 15-year high of 8.25%. As price pressures decreased, the SARB is loosening policy for the first time since the epidemic in 2020

As monetary varying shifts across the continent continue, African nations are still facing numerous severe shocks and significant structural challenges, such as rising food and energy prices brought on by geopolitical tensions like Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, climate issues that impact agriculture and energy production, and ongoing political instability.

Africa’s real GDP growth slowed to 3.1% in 2023 from 4.1% in 2022 as a result of this difficult climate. With growth predicted to reach 3.7% in 2024 and 4.3% in 2025, the economic picture is projected to improve going ahead, underscoring the resilience of African countries.

Zambia and its post-drought plans

Zambia’s finance minister, Situmbeko Musokotwane stated on Friday that the nation intends to quickly recover from its worst drought in living memory and cut its budget deficit in half the following year.

The minister stated in a budget address that the copper producer hopes for a 6.6% growth in 2025, as opposed to a projected 2.3% increase in 2024. The country is aiming for a speedy recovery. as the government crop assessment data shows that over nine million people are affected in 84 of the 117 districts after suffering through the driest farming season in over forty years, which has led to considerable crop losses, an increase in livestock deaths, and worsening poverty,

Real GDP increased gradually between 2022 and 2023, from 5.2% to 5.8%. The supply side was driven by mining and quarrying, wholesale and retail commerce, and agriculture; the demand side was driven by consumer and business spending. Food prices, transit expenses, and the nominal exchange rate are the key drivers of inflation, which is expected to remain elevated and reach 11.0% and 10.9% at the end of 2022 and 2023, respectively.

The economic challenges faced by Zambia are exacerbated by the drought, especially when considering its debt load. Its debt restructuring talks under the G20 Common Framework have progressed far more slowly than was originally anticipated when the Common Framework was first proposed.

In 2017, Zambia was placed under debt distress, and as a result, non-concessional lending from multilateral development banks was discontinued. It’s possible that by overestimating sovereign risks, the main credit rating firms exacerbated the debt crisis and dealing with a post-drought crisis might just be another “too high hurdle”

As the World Bank and Uganda LGBTQ saga continues

The World Bank is taking more action in support of Uganda’s LGBTQ community. The global lender announced on Wednesday that it is implementing steps to guarantee that lenders to Uganda are not subjected to discrimination due to a severe anti-gay law. According to a World Bank representative, both new and continuing projects would be subject to the procedures, which also include an impartial monitoring system to guarantee compliance.

Same-sex partnerships are forbidden and punishable by life in prison; similarly, anyone convicted of “aggravated homosexuality” faces the death penalty. The Anti-Homosexuality Act (AHA) was passed by Uganda, a largely conservative nation, in May of last year and it has led to considerable Western censure and US penalties.

Other than Uganda, several African nations have strict laws that discriminate against individuals who identify as LGBTQ. Hakainde Hichilema, the president of Zambia, issued a warning in March to supporters of the LGBTQ movement to stop endorsing homosexuality. He also asked that Zambia “maintain laws that abhor alien orientations like gayism and lesbianism.”

South Africa, which has a constitution that forbids discrimination based on sexual orientation, was the first and only African nation to legalise same-sex marriage in 2006. Some African nations, such as Angola, Mozambique, Botswana, Lesotho, Mauritius, and Seychelles, have laws that are favourable to the continent’s population but Uganda appears to be unbothered or tempted despite the many causes and costs of its anti-gay stand.

Ahead of Tunisia’s presidential election

During the week, another Tunisian presidential candidate Ayachi Zammel was convicted and sentenced to six months imprisonment for using “fraudulent certificates” as opposition voices in the North African country continue on attack as President Saied positions himself for what is likely to be a reelection, as all but one of the opposition candidates are either incarcerated or have had their eligibility ruled invalid by the Tunisian electoral commission.

On September 19, a third candidate who had received the election commission’s approval was sentenced to 20 months in prison. Saied, who is currently running for reelection for a second five-year term, was originally elected in 2019 as an anti-establishment candidate who pledged to combat poverty and eradicate corruption. However, in 2021 he declared that he would rule by decree after overthrowing Mohamed Ennaceur and the elected parliament, a move denounced as a coup by the opposition and the international community.

Additionally, he has deployed more oppressive strategies, which may indicate that he is not confident in his ability to win with conviction. His severe actions could indicate a new stage in Tunisia’s democratic backsliding and foreshadow more crackdowns and turmoil during an inevitable second term.

Meanwhile, concerns exist over potential voting turnout as well. Under Saied, Tunisia has conducted three elections, with dismal voter turnout in each. Less than one-third of voters cast ballots in favour of a new constitution that solidified Saied’s power and overthrew the 2014 charter in July 2022. After Saied dismissed the previous legislature in December 2022, only 11% of voters cast ballots for new members of parliament, which is among the lowest turnout percentages ever recorded in a national election worldwide. The next December, Saied called elections for a new second house of parliament, repeating this dubious performance.

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