The African Development Bank (AfDB) said on Friday that although the continent’s economic growth dropped to 3.2 percent last year from 4.1 percent in 2022, it was still expected to expand this year in all sub-regions except Central Africa.
According to the AfDB, the effects of COVID-19 and Russia’s conflict in Ukraine are being exacerbated by political unrest and China’s economic downturn.
The AfDB’s November prediction of 3.4 percent growth was not met by the final 2023 result. In the wake of catastrophic flooding in Libya and an economic downturn in Equatorial Guinea, an oil producer, it also lowered its forecasts for regional growth in Central and North Africa.
“The shocks buffeting African economies since 2020 have damaged growth, with long-term implications,” the bank said in a report.
According to the AfDB, 15 African nations—including Ethiopia, which is restructuring its foreign debt—saw economic growth of more than 5% last year despite the shocks that the continent has been dealing with. These nations include Ivory Coast, Rwanda, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Mauritius, and Ethiopia.
The bank projected faster growth in 2024 across all regions barring central Africa, with Southern Africa continuing to lag behind at 2.2 percent compared to East Africa’s 5.7 percent.
The bank stated that the “sluggish performance reflects the continued economic stagnation in South Africa,” adding that the largest economy in the region—which is hosting national elections this year—is expected to grow by 1.1 percent in 2024, up from 0.8 percent in the previous year.
“This underwhelming economic situation has aggravated the country’s persistently high unemployment, poverty, and inequality and prevented it from reaping democratic dividends in the 30 years since the end of White minority rule,” AfDB said.
According to the report, Egypt’s growth is expected to be hampered by high inflation and shortages of foreign exchange, with growth expected to drop to 3.7 percent this year from 4 percent in 2023.
Meanwhile, Nigeria, the largest economy in West Africa, is expected to grow by 2.9 percent in 2024, up 0.4 percentage points from the previous year as a result of a sharply devalued currency driving up inflation and aggravating a crisis related to the cost of living.