The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded its forecast for Nigeria’s 2024 economic growth to 3.0%, which is below the growth forecast of 3.1 percent made in October 2023.
The IMF made the announcement in its January 2024 World Economic Outlook report. Nonetheless, the multinational organisation maintained its 3.1% estimate for Nigeria’s GDP in 2025.
Meanwhile, the IMF’s counterpart, the World Bank, in its latest report last week on “Global Economic Prospect: Subdued Growth, Multiple Challenges,” has predicted that Nigeria’s GDP will grow by 3.3% in 2024 and 3.7% in 2025.
Additionally, the IMF reduced its prior October prediction of 3.4 percent economic growth in the Sub-Saharan Africa region to 3.2% in 2024. On the other hand, the IMF raised its estimate of global economic growth in 2024 from 2.9% in October of the previous year to 3.1 percent.
The IMF stated: “Global growth is projected at 3.1 percent in 2024 and 3.2 percent in 2025, with the 2024 forecast 0.2 percentage point higher than that in the October 2023 World Economic Outlook (WEO) on account of greater-than-expected resilience in the United States and several large emerging market and developing economies, as well as fiscal support in China.
In its forecast for the Sub-Saharan Africa region, the IMF said: “In sub-Saharan Africa, growth is projected to rise from an estimated 3.3 percent in 2023 to 3.8 percent in 2024 and 4.1 percent in 2025, as the negative effects of earlier weather shocks subside and supply issues gradually improve.
The downward revision for 2024 of 0.2 percentage points from October 2023 mainly reflects a weaker projection for South Africa on account of increasing logistical constraints, including those in the transportation sector, on economic activity.”
In addition, the IMF restated its policy priorities for governments worldwide, stating that “as inflation declines towards target levels across regions, the near-term priority for central banks is to deliver a smooth landing, neither lowering rates prematurely nor delaying such lowering too much.”