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Zambia pushing to meet creditors as restructuring lingers

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Zambian President, Hakainde Hichilema, is lobbying his country’s official and private creditors to meet to resolve their differences over a restructuring proposal for $3 billion of international bonds.

A preliminary agreement to restructure the Eurobonds was rejected by Zambia’s official creditors, which include China and members of the Paris Club of creditor nations, last month, dealing a serious blow to the country. According to the official creditors, the International Monetary Fund-approved agreement with bondholders did not provide debt relief that was equivalent to what they were providing.

During the recently concluded COP28 climate summit in Dubai, Zambia’s Hichilema informed a news conference that he had discussed his country’s sluggish progress in restructuring negotiations with French President Emmanuel Macron.

Also on Wednesday, after the conclusion of its second review of Zambia’s Extended Credit Facility (ECF), the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) disbursed roughly US$187 million to the southern African country.

He stated on Friday that, “some official creditors felt that the private creditors were not yet at par with them” in response to their rejection of the deal.

Under the G20’s Common Framework process—instituted in 2020 as a reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic—debtor countries are expected to reach comparable restructuring agreements with official and commercial creditors.

Hichilema stated that a memorandum of understanding on debt restructuring had been signed by 98% of official creditors. “Investors are saying is this (the debt restructuring) going to happen? The delays are giving a push on inflation,” Hichilema said.

Zambia was the first African country to default on its foreign debt following the COVID-19 pandemic. It has continued to seek debt restructuring with creditors under the G20 framework.

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Food prices drive second straight monthly hike in Nigeria’s inflation

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According to official statistics released on Friday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the second consecutive month in October, rising to 33.88% in annual terms from 32.70% in September, mostly as a result of increasing food costs.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

As the effects of the naira devaluation started to lessen in July of this year, a slew of hikes in the price of petroleum and devastating floods that destroyed crops once again exacerbated pricing pressures, making the greatest cost-of-living crisis in decades worse in Africa’s most populous country.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil prompted food inflation to surge from 37.77% in October to 39.16% year over year.

This year, more than 1.5 million hectares of agriculture have been damaged by torrential rain and floods in 29 of Nigeria’s 36 states, leaving millions hungry and displacing large numbers of people.

In an effort to curb inflation, the central bank has raised interest rates five times this year. On November 26, it is expected to make its final rate decision of the year.

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MTN financial report reveals drop in group service revenue

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Due to operational difficulties in Sudan and the depreciation of the Nigerian naira, MTN Group, Africa’s largest telecom provider, announced on Thursday an 18.5% decline in service revenue for the third quarter that concluded on September 30.

With 288 million users in 17 African regions, MTN said that its group service revenue dropped from 156.3 billion rand ($6.99 billion) in the same quarter of the previous year to 127.4 billion rand.

Despite stating that “the naira was less volatile on a sequential basis in Q3 than in preceding quarters,” the business reported a 48.7% decline in MTN Nigeria’s income due to the currency’s depreciation.

Due to a stronger Ugandan shilling than the previous year, Uganda’s largest contributor, MTN South Africa (MTN SA), expanded by a meagre 3.3%.

Due to “subscriber registration regulations in Nigeria and a decline in users in Sudan, where the conflict has displaced millions of people,” the business reported that its subscriber base increased by 1.6% to 288 million.

Given the higher demand in Nigeria despite the legal obstacles, MTN plans to increase its capital expenditures, which it expects would total between 28 and 33 billion rand for the entire year.

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