A fall in Nigeria’s foreign reserves by $1.6 billion to $32.97 billion has been observed since the country’s central bank’s recent efforts to unify foreign exchange rates.
In June, the central bank informed all authorised dealers and the general public of the following immediate changes to operations in the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market: Abolishment of segmentation.
“All segments are now collapsed into the Investors and Exporters window. Applications for medicals, school fees, BTA/PTA, and SMEs would continue to be processed through deposit money banks. Re-introduction of the ‘Willing Buyer, Willing Seller’ model at the I&E Window. Operations in this window shall be guided by the existing circular on establishing the window,” the CBN had said in the June statement.
Foreign exchange reserves and the value of the naira have decreased since then. The nation had $34.62 billion in gross foreign exchange reserves as of June 15. However, the foreign exchange reserves fell to $32.97bn as of December 1, 2023, according to data from the CBN.
The Economist Intelligence Unit revealed in its most recent Africa Outlook report that Nigeria lacked sufficient foreign exchange reserves to support its policy of unifying its exchange rates.
It said, “In Nigeria, an unsupportive monetary policy implies that the naira will remain under pressure, while the central bank lacks the firepower to adequately supply the market or clear a backlog of foreign exchange orders, which will keep foreign investors unnerved. High inflation and a continued spread with the parallel market will destabilise the exchange rate regime and result in periodic devaluations.”
Additionally, JP Morgan recently calculated that Nigeria’s net foreign exchange reserves were $3.7 billion after taking into account larger-than-anticipated currency swaps and borrowing against reserves. Though the CBN may source foreign exchange at commercial and semi-commercial rates, it was noted that the low net foreign exchange reserves put pressure on the foreign exchange market.
Sources close to the government have hinted that as part of measures to ensure liquidity in the country’s forex market, the Nigerian government has begun engagement with persons hoarding the dollar, as well as organizations and those found to have looted the treasury, to make them “bring their monies to the mainstream market.”
The Nigerian government has sought to stabilize the country’s economy with two major policy actions: the removal of the fiscal bleeding in petrol subsidies and the unification of the exchange rate. The results have not been positive, with the further fall of its currency value and the sharp rise in the cost of living.