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Mozambique expects larger deficit, faster economic growth in 2024

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Mozambique’s economy is predicted to grow by 5.5% next year, but the country’s budget deficit is growing as well, accounting for 10.4% of GDP due to debt service.

The finance minister said the growth would also be affected by public sector wage reforms and election spending. This contrasts with 2023 targets of 5.0% growth and a budget deficit of 8.7% of GDP.

In a 2024 budget speech, Finance Minister, Max Tonela, provided the most recent estimates. He stated that 3.0% of GDP would come from domestic borrowing, 1.9% from foreign loans, and 5.4% from external grants.

He stated that, among other sectors, extractive industries, agriculture, and finance would propel growth in 2024.

Over the past ten years, the economy of the country has experienced several setbacks, such as a “hidden debt” crisis, severe cyclones, and an insurgency associated with the Islamic State that is centred in the gas-rich province of Cabo Delgado.

Given those blows, “our country continues to follow a remarkable path of growth recovery, with a promising scenario in the medium term,” Tonela said.

Mozambique’s economy is mainly driven by the recovery of services and the start of liquified natural gas (LNG) production at the Coral South offshore facility.

According to the World Bank, following a gradual rebound in 2021, growth picked up steam in 2022, hitting 4.2%, and is predicted to soar to 6.0% in 2023 as LNG output at the Coral South offshore facility increases.

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Food prices drive second straight monthly hike in Nigeria’s inflation

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According to official statistics released on Friday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the second consecutive month in October, rising to 33.88% in annual terms from 32.70% in September, mostly as a result of increasing food costs.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

As the effects of the naira devaluation started to lessen in July of this year, a slew of hikes in the price of petroleum and devastating floods that destroyed crops once again exacerbated pricing pressures, making the greatest cost-of-living crisis in decades worse in Africa’s most populous country.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil prompted food inflation to surge from 37.77% in October to 39.16% year over year.

This year, more than 1.5 million hectares of agriculture have been damaged by torrential rain and floods in 29 of Nigeria’s 36 states, leaving millions hungry and displacing large numbers of people.

In an effort to curb inflation, the central bank has raised interest rates five times this year. On November 26, it is expected to make its final rate decision of the year.

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MTN financial report reveals drop in group service revenue

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Due to operational difficulties in Sudan and the depreciation of the Nigerian naira, MTN Group, Africa’s largest telecom provider, announced on Thursday an 18.5% decline in service revenue for the third quarter that concluded on September 30.

With 288 million users in 17 African regions, MTN said that its group service revenue dropped from 156.3 billion rand ($6.99 billion) in the same quarter of the previous year to 127.4 billion rand.

Despite stating that “the naira was less volatile on a sequential basis in Q3 than in preceding quarters,” the business reported a 48.7% decline in MTN Nigeria’s income due to the currency’s depreciation.

Due to a stronger Ugandan shilling than the previous year, Uganda’s largest contributor, MTN South Africa (MTN SA), expanded by a meagre 3.3%.

Due to “subscriber registration regulations in Nigeria and a decline in users in Sudan, where the conflict has displaced millions of people,” the business reported that its subscriber base increased by 1.6% to 288 million.

Given the higher demand in Nigeria despite the legal obstacles, MTN plans to increase its capital expenditures, which it expects would total between 28 and 33 billion rand for the entire year.

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