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Ethiopia’s Eurobond status downgraded to ‘default’ after missed payment

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The rating on Ethiopia’s only international government bond has been downgraded to “default” from “near default” status by ratings agency, Fitch.

The downgrade comes after the East African country failed to make a $33 million coupon payment on a $1 billion Eurobond, becoming Africa’s third debt default case in as many years.

Ethiopia declared earlier this month that it planned to formally enter default. Following the COVID-19 pandemic and a two-year civil war that came to an end in November 2022, the nation has faced extreme financial hardship.

Additionally, Ethiopia’s long-term foreign currency rating was downgraded from “C” to “RD,” or restricted default, by the agency. It does not give sovereigns ratings of “CCC+” or lower outlooks.

Early in 2021, Ethiopia requested debt relief under the Common Framework of the Group of 20. But progress was first slowed down by the COVID-19 pandemic’s effects and a two-year civil war. In a call with bondholders on December 15, Ethiopian officials said that while the coupon was reasonable, it was not paying to treat all of its creditors equally.

“Statements by the Ministry of Finance suggest that the non-payment reflects the effort to provide equal treatment to private creditors following agreements with official creditors to suspend debt service,” Fitch said in a statement.

Numerous African nations, including Egypt, Tunisia, Nigeria, Ghana, Zambia, and others, are struggling with significant foreign debt. Zambia, Ghana, and Ethiopia will all be a part of a comprehensive “Common Framework” restructuring.

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Food prices drive second straight monthly hike in Nigeria’s inflation

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According to official statistics released on Friday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the second consecutive month in October, rising to 33.88% in annual terms from 32.70% in September, mostly as a result of increasing food costs.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

As the effects of the naira devaluation started to lessen in July of this year, a slew of hikes in the price of petroleum and devastating floods that destroyed crops once again exacerbated pricing pressures, making the greatest cost-of-living crisis in decades worse in Africa’s most populous country.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil prompted food inflation to surge from 37.77% in October to 39.16% year over year.

This year, more than 1.5 million hectares of agriculture have been damaged by torrential rain and floods in 29 of Nigeria’s 36 states, leaving millions hungry and displacing large numbers of people.

In an effort to curb inflation, the central bank has raised interest rates five times this year. On November 26, it is expected to make its final rate decision of the year.

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MTN financial report reveals drop in group service revenue

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Due to operational difficulties in Sudan and the depreciation of the Nigerian naira, MTN Group, Africa’s largest telecom provider, announced on Thursday an 18.5% decline in service revenue for the third quarter that concluded on September 30.

With 288 million users in 17 African regions, MTN said that its group service revenue dropped from 156.3 billion rand ($6.99 billion) in the same quarter of the previous year to 127.4 billion rand.

Despite stating that “the naira was less volatile on a sequential basis in Q3 than in preceding quarters,” the business reported a 48.7% decline in MTN Nigeria’s income due to the currency’s depreciation.

Due to a stronger Ugandan shilling than the previous year, Uganda’s largest contributor, MTN South Africa (MTN SA), expanded by a meagre 3.3%.

Due to “subscriber registration regulations in Nigeria and a decline in users in Sudan, where the conflict has displaced millions of people,” the business reported that its subscriber base increased by 1.6% to 288 million.

Given the higher demand in Nigeria despite the legal obstacles, MTN plans to increase its capital expenditures, which it expects would total between 28 and 33 billion rand for the entire year.

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