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Ethiopia joins Zambia, Ghana, others on Africa’s debt default list

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After failing to make a $33 million “coupon” payment on its only international government bond, Ethiopia has become Africa’s third debt defaulter in as many years.

The country declared earlier this month that it planned to formally enter default. Following the COVID-19 pandemic and a two-year civil war that came to an end in November 2022, the nation has faced extreme financial hardship.

Although it was originally scheduled to make the payment on December 11, a 14-day “grace period” provision in the $1 billion bond gave it until Tuesday to deliver the funds.

It declared earlier this month that it planned to formally enter default. On December 8, it announced the parallel talks it was holding with pension funds and other creditors in the private sector that owns its bonds had broken down. Also, on December 15, S&P Global, a credit rating agency, downgraded the bond to “default” based on the likelihood that the coupon payment would not be made.

Two people with knowledge of the matter claim that as of Friday, December 22, the final international banking working day before the grace period ends, bondholders had not received their coupon payment.

Requests for comment from Ethiopian government representatives were not answered on Friday or over the weekend.

Several African countries, like Zambia, Nigeria, Ghana, Tunisia, and Egypt, among others, are grappling with high foreign debt. Ethiopia will be included in a comprehensive “Common Framework” restructuring along with Zambia and Ghana.

Earlier this year, United Nations Secretary-General, Antonio Guterres, at the opening ceremony of the annual African Union summit in Ethiopia, argued for reforms to the structure of international finance to serve the needs of developing countries more efficiently.

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Food prices drive second straight monthly hike in Nigeria’s inflation

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According to official statistics released on Friday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the second consecutive month in October, rising to 33.88% in annual terms from 32.70% in September, mostly as a result of increasing food costs.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

As the effects of the naira devaluation started to lessen in July of this year, a slew of hikes in the price of petroleum and devastating floods that destroyed crops once again exacerbated pricing pressures, making the greatest cost-of-living crisis in decades worse in Africa’s most populous country.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil prompted food inflation to surge from 37.77% in October to 39.16% year over year.

This year, more than 1.5 million hectares of agriculture have been damaged by torrential rain and floods in 29 of Nigeria’s 36 states, leaving millions hungry and displacing large numbers of people.

In an effort to curb inflation, the central bank has raised interest rates five times this year. On November 26, it is expected to make its final rate decision of the year.

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MTN financial report reveals drop in group service revenue

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Due to operational difficulties in Sudan and the depreciation of the Nigerian naira, MTN Group, Africa’s largest telecom provider, announced on Thursday an 18.5% decline in service revenue for the third quarter that concluded on September 30.

With 288 million users in 17 African regions, MTN said that its group service revenue dropped from 156.3 billion rand ($6.99 billion) in the same quarter of the previous year to 127.4 billion rand.

Despite stating that “the naira was less volatile on a sequential basis in Q3 than in preceding quarters,” the business reported a 48.7% decline in MTN Nigeria’s income due to the currency’s depreciation.

Due to a stronger Ugandan shilling than the previous year, Uganda’s largest contributor, MTN South Africa (MTN SA), expanded by a meagre 3.3%.

Due to “subscriber registration regulations in Nigeria and a decline in users in Sudan, where the conflict has displaced millions of people,” the business reported that its subscriber base increased by 1.6% to 288 million.

Given the higher demand in Nigeria despite the legal obstacles, MTN plans to increase its capital expenditures, which it expects would total between 28 and 33 billion rand for the entire year.

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