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Nigeria’s central bank to target policies at inflation control

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Nigeria’s central bank governor, Olayemi Cardoso, has promised that the apex bank will tighten policy over the next two quarters to manage inflation in the country.

Cardoso also revealed that commercial banks had been directed to boost capital to support an expansion of the economy while stressing that the CBN would stop fiscal interventions that had blurred the lines between monetary and fiscal policy and undermined its ability to manage inflation, discontinuing the much-criticised unorthodox policies pursued by his embattled predecessor, Godwin Emefiele.

In an effort to relieve pressure on the naira, which has been falling freely on the unofficial parallel market, Cardoso stated that at least 31 banks were paid in the first tranche of settlements.

“These payments will continue until obligations are cleared,” he said.

The inflation rate has continued on an upward movement for the tenth straight month in Nigeria, as the latest data released by the National Bureau of Statistics last week showed a surge to 27.33% in October. It was a 0.61 percentage point increase from the 26.72% that was recorded in September.

The CBN has “approved adopting an explicit inflation-targeting framework to enhance the effectiveness of our monetary policy… Details and requirements for this framework are currently being finalised along with the fiscal authorities,” he said in the commercial hub of Lagos.

Cardoso stated that the economy of the West African country could reach $1 trillion in the next seven years and that lenders needed additional capital to participate in a larger economy.

“The Central Bank of Nigeria is fully committed to ensuring price stability and financial system stability,” he said.

“We will tackle institutional deficiencies, restore corporate governance, strengthen regulations and implement prudent policies.

“We are taking measured and deliberate steps to send the right signals to markets,” he added, assuring investors that the economy would “experience significant stability in the short to medium term as we recalibrate our policy toolkit and implement far-reaching measures.”

With its loss-making oil sector contracted at a much slower pace, and government reforms not yet implemented, Nigeria’s over $300 billion economy saw third-quarter growth of 2.5% on Friday, hardly changing from the previous quarter.

The redesign of the N200, N500, and N1,000 banknotes and the removal of the previous bills within an unprecedented three-month window, which caused a cash shortage crisis, were among the controversies that the Nigerian central bank faced during its previous occupants. It is purported that these actions were taken without consulting the Minister of Finance.

Another was the multiple currency exchange windows which experts claimed was detrimental to the Nigerian economy.

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Nigeria: Marketers predict further price cut as another refinery begins operations

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Oil marketers and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority expect refined petroleum product prices to reduce as another public refinery in Warri begins operations.

The marketers made the prediction when the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited launched the 125,000-barrel-per-day Delta State WRPC. NNPCL also wants to export locally refined goods for foreign cash. Last month, the 60,000-barrel-per-day Port Harcourt Refinery in Rivers State began operations.

During an inspection tour of the facility on Monday, the NNPCL Group Chief Executive Officer, Mele Kyari, explained that the inspection aimed to show Nigerians the level of work completed so far.

During a tour with NMDPRA CEO Farouk Ahmed and NNPC Board Chairman Pius Akinyelure, Kyari said that while facility repairs were not yet 100% complete, refining operations had begun and would produce straight-run kerosene, diesel and naphtha.

In a statement commemorating the milestone, President Bola Tinubu stated the plant is functioning at 60% or 75,000 barrels per day.

Kyari said, “We are taking you through our plant. This plant is running. Although it is not 100 per cent complete, we are still in the process. Many people think these things are not real. They think real things are not possible in this country. We want you to see that this is real.”

Since some of these goods would be shipped to foreign markets, he said, the reopening of the Warri refinery will help the country become a net exporter of petroleum products.

“Secondly, this plant had three stages; we have started plant one, which we call Area One. It can produce AGO (diesel), kerosene, naphtha, and a blend of crude oil. These are high-grade quality products required in the country, and we may need to export them. So this will give us cash, this company will make money and the promise of Mr President that this country must be a net exporter of petroleum products is already happening. Some of these products will go into the international market.

“Most importantly, I must put on record that Mr President believes that we can get this to work and get them to start and gave us the charge that we must start all three refineries. It’s already happening; we have started the 60,000 barrels per day refinery, and Area One of the Warri refinery is already working. Other plants that would produce PMS are being streamed and they would also come alive.

Mustapha Zarma, the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria’s National Operations Controller, stated that the rivalry in the downstream oil industry will become more fierce.

There will undoubtedly be a further decrease in pricing if the plant begins producing goods in bulk, he stated. This is because the market will ultimately be influenced by market forces and there will be fierce rivalry.

Until recently, none of Nigeria’s publicly owned refineries has worked to capacity for years, despite several investments to revive them. The failure of the government to revive them contributed to the high level of national anticipation surrounding the Dangote refinery whose operations appear to have revolutionalised the industry.

The refinery will concentrate on manufacturing and storing essential goods, such as heavy and light naphtha, automotive petrol oil and straight-run kerosene.

The country’s first fully owned refinery, the WRPC, was put into service in 1978 and is situated in Warri, Delta State, Nigeria. It was first built to process 100,000 barrels of crude oil a day, but in 1987 it was updated to process 125,000 barrels.

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Kenya: Consumer inflation rises to 3.0% from 2.8%

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Kenya’s statistics agency said on Tuesday that Kenya’s consumer price inflation increased slightly to 3.0% year-over-year in December from 2.8% the previous month.

According to a release from the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, monthly inflation was 0.6%, down from 0.3% in November. Kenya aims to have a medium-term inflation rate of 2.5% to 7.5%.

With inflation under control, Kenya’s central bank said there was an opportunity for looser policy to assist economic development, lowering its benchmark lending rate by a larger-than-expected 75 basis points to 11.25% on December 5.

 

Kenya’s GDP expanded by 5.2% in 2023, up from 4.8% in 2022, thanks to a recovery in agriculture and a modest increase in services. Household consumption accounted for 70% of the growth on the demand side, while services and agriculture accounted for 69% and 23% of the growth, respectively, on the supply side.

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