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IMF says Malawi needs almost $1 billion debt relief by 2027 

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Multilateral body, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said that Malawi needs almost $1 billion in debt relief from its creditors by 2027.

The announcement comes as the country battles severe medicine, fuel, and fertiliser shortages due to chronic foreign currency shortages. According to an IMF report, the landlocked nation requires $887 million in debt relief from its commercial creditors between 2023 and 2027 and $99 million from its bilateral creditors.

Malawi has a $1.6 billion financing gap between 2023 and 2027—that is, the difference between export revenues and the cost of imports and servicing external debt. The majority of that gap is expected to be covered by debt restructuring, with the remaining portion coming from grants, concessional loans, and the IMF loan.

Last week, the IMF Executive Board gave Malawi a $178 million, four-year loan. One of the main conditions for the IMF board to approve the loan was to obtain a commitment from bilateral creditors, China and India to restructure their share of the country’s external debt, which stood at $4 billion at the end of 2022.

$222 million of Malawi’s debt is owed to the Chinese Export-Import Bank, and $114 to Exim India. As at the end of 2022, Malawi owed $495 million to the African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) and $395 million to the Trade & Development Bank, its two principal commercial creditors.

 

Malawi is currently experiencing severe shortages of vital imports like fuel, medicines, and fertilisers due to forex shortages. 58.8% of the country’s population currently lives in extreme poverty.

Malawian President, Lazarus Chakwera announced a reduction in governance costs, overall prudence in public expenditure, and the suspension of foreign trips for himself and cabinet members. He has also reduced the fuel allowances of senior government officials by 50% due to inflation. He plans to increase the salaries of civil servants to ease the cost of living.

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Food prices drive second straight monthly hike in Nigeria’s inflation

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According to official statistics released on Friday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the second consecutive month in October, rising to 33.88% in annual terms from 32.70% in September, mostly as a result of increasing food costs.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

As the effects of the naira devaluation started to lessen in July of this year, a slew of hikes in the price of petroleum and devastating floods that destroyed crops once again exacerbated pricing pressures, making the greatest cost-of-living crisis in decades worse in Africa’s most populous country.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil prompted food inflation to surge from 37.77% in October to 39.16% year over year.

This year, more than 1.5 million hectares of agriculture have been damaged by torrential rain and floods in 29 of Nigeria’s 36 states, leaving millions hungry and displacing large numbers of people.

In an effort to curb inflation, the central bank has raised interest rates five times this year. On November 26, it is expected to make its final rate decision of the year.

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MTN financial report reveals drop in group service revenue

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Due to operational difficulties in Sudan and the depreciation of the Nigerian naira, MTN Group, Africa’s largest telecom provider, announced on Thursday an 18.5% decline in service revenue for the third quarter that concluded on September 30.

With 288 million users in 17 African regions, MTN said that its group service revenue dropped from 156.3 billion rand ($6.99 billion) in the same quarter of the previous year to 127.4 billion rand.

Despite stating that “the naira was less volatile on a sequential basis in Q3 than in preceding quarters,” the business reported a 48.7% decline in MTN Nigeria’s income due to the currency’s depreciation.

Due to a stronger Ugandan shilling than the previous year, Uganda’s largest contributor, MTN South Africa (MTN SA), expanded by a meagre 3.3%.

Due to “subscriber registration regulations in Nigeria and a decline in users in Sudan, where the conflict has displaced millions of people,” the business reported that its subscriber base increased by 1.6% to 288 million.

Given the higher demand in Nigeria despite the legal obstacles, MTN plans to increase its capital expenditures, which it expects would total between 28 and 33 billion rand for the entire year.

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