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IMF approves 2nd assessment of Zambian debt facility, to release $184 million

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Hours after Zambia’s official creditors rejected its bond deal with foreign holders, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a staff-level agreement with Zambia on the second review of its Extended Credit Facility, unlocking another $184 million subject to IMF board approval.

The IMF and the Official Creditor Committee (OCC) of the country had “expressed reservations” over a deal the country struck with overseas bondholders and whether the initial agreement reached with a group of bondholders in late October provided equivalent debt relief from bilateral and commercial lenders.

In a statement, the head of the IMF mission in Zambia also said that the Fund was pleased with Zambia’s memorandum of understanding with its official creditors and its ongoing talks with private creditors to conclude a debt restructuring agreement.

Building reserves would strengthen Zambia’s external resilience, according to the IMF chief, who also suggested that the Southern African country may need to tighten monetary policy even more to combat inflationary pressures.

Zambia’s efforts to restructure its debt took a significant blow on Monday when the government announced that official creditors, including China, were objecting to a revised plan to rework $3 billion in Eurobonds.

After contracting by 2.8% in 2020, Zambia’s economy recovered in 2021, with real GDP growing by 4.6%. The growth was fuelled by increased copper prices, positive external demand, abundant rainfall, and increased market confidence following the election. Obstacles in mining, construction, and agriculture hindered its post-pandemic recovery in 2022.

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Food prices drive second straight monthly hike in Nigeria’s inflation

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According to official statistics released on Friday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the second consecutive month in October, rising to 33.88% in annual terms from 32.70% in September, mostly as a result of increasing food costs.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

As the effects of the naira devaluation started to lessen in July of this year, a slew of hikes in the price of petroleum and devastating floods that destroyed crops once again exacerbated pricing pressures, making the greatest cost-of-living crisis in decades worse in Africa’s most populous country.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil prompted food inflation to surge from 37.77% in October to 39.16% year over year.

This year, more than 1.5 million hectares of agriculture have been damaged by torrential rain and floods in 29 of Nigeria’s 36 states, leaving millions hungry and displacing large numbers of people.

In an effort to curb inflation, the central bank has raised interest rates five times this year. On November 26, it is expected to make its final rate decision of the year.

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MTN financial report reveals drop in group service revenue

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Due to operational difficulties in Sudan and the depreciation of the Nigerian naira, MTN Group, Africa’s largest telecom provider, announced on Thursday an 18.5% decline in service revenue for the third quarter that concluded on September 30.

With 288 million users in 17 African regions, MTN said that its group service revenue dropped from 156.3 billion rand ($6.99 billion) in the same quarter of the previous year to 127.4 billion rand.

Despite stating that “the naira was less volatile on a sequential basis in Q3 than in preceding quarters,” the business reported a 48.7% decline in MTN Nigeria’s income due to the currency’s depreciation.

Due to a stronger Ugandan shilling than the previous year, Uganda’s largest contributor, MTN South Africa (MTN SA), expanded by a meagre 3.3%.

Due to “subscriber registration regulations in Nigeria and a decline in users in Sudan, where the conflict has displaced millions of people,” the business reported that its subscriber base increased by 1.6% to 288 million.

Given the higher demand in Nigeria despite the legal obstacles, MTN plans to increase its capital expenditures, which it expects would total between 28 and 33 billion rand for the entire year.

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