Kenya’s projected budget deficit for the July–June fiscal year of 2023–2024 has increased from 4.4% to 5.3% of GDP, according to a summary of updated spending estimates brought before parliament on Friday.
According to Finance Minister, Njuguna Ndung’u, the reason for the broader estimate was the Kenyan shilling’s depreciation versus the US dollar, which increased the anticipated amount of cash needed to pay off foreign debts during that time.
“The data we have has shown that approximately 145 billion shillings are accounted by increased interest costs on the external debt space as well as debt volume increase due to exchange rate depreciation,” he told journalists.
“(It is) Time to drop politics and look at the reality in the world economies,” Ndung’u said.
Among the debt the government must pay in foreign currencies is a $2 billion Eurobond that is due in June of next year. Investors are a little concerned about the bond’s maturity because the refinancing option was out of reach due to an increase in yields.
To reassure markets that it was serious about containing the skyrocketing debt, President William Ruto’s administration drastically reduced the budget deficit in June, when it was first presented to parliament.
Unfortunately, this attempt has been thwarted by a sharp depreciation of the shilling, which is currently down 18% versus the dollar this year.
In Africa, Kenya is among the countries struggling with debt. As per the official data, the country is presently facing financial difficulties because it needs to allocate nearly 50% of its earnings towards fulfilling approaching debts. A sharp devaluation of the Kenyan shilling, and foreign loan obligations have exacerbated the situation.