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Kenya’s revised budget projects deficit increase from 4.4% to 5.3%

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Kenya’s projected budget deficit for the July–June fiscal year of 2023–2024 has increased from 4.4% to 5.3% of GDP, according to a summary of updated spending estimates brought before parliament on Friday.

According to Finance Minister, Njuguna Ndung’u, the reason for the broader estimate was the Kenyan shilling’s depreciation versus the US dollar, which increased the anticipated amount of cash needed to pay off foreign debts during that time.

“The data we have has shown that approximately 145 billion shillings are accounted by increased interest costs on the external debt space as well as debt volume increase due to exchange rate depreciation,” he told journalists.

“(It is) Time to drop politics and look at the reality in the world economies,” Ndung’u said.

Among the debt the government must pay in foreign currencies is a $2 billion Eurobond that is due in June of next year. Investors are a little concerned about the bond’s maturity because the refinancing option was out of reach due to an increase in yields.

To reassure markets that it was serious about containing the skyrocketing debt, President William Ruto’s administration drastically reduced the budget deficit in June, when it was first presented to parliament.

Unfortunately, this attempt has been thwarted by a sharp depreciation of the shilling, which is currently down 18% versus the dollar this year.

In Africa, Kenya is among the countries struggling with debt. As per the official data, the country is presently facing financial difficulties because it needs to allocate nearly 50% of its earnings towards fulfilling approaching debts. A sharp devaluation of the Kenyan shilling, and foreign loan obligations have exacerbated the situation.

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Food prices drive second straight monthly hike in Nigeria’s inflation

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According to official statistics released on Friday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the second consecutive month in October, rising to 33.88% in annual terms from 32.70% in September, mostly as a result of increasing food costs.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

As the effects of the naira devaluation started to lessen in July of this year, a slew of hikes in the price of petroleum and devastating floods that destroyed crops once again exacerbated pricing pressures, making the greatest cost-of-living crisis in decades worse in Africa’s most populous country.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil prompted food inflation to surge from 37.77% in October to 39.16% year over year.

This year, more than 1.5 million hectares of agriculture have been damaged by torrential rain and floods in 29 of Nigeria’s 36 states, leaving millions hungry and displacing large numbers of people.

In an effort to curb inflation, the central bank has raised interest rates five times this year. On November 26, it is expected to make its final rate decision of the year.

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MTN financial report reveals drop in group service revenue

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Due to operational difficulties in Sudan and the depreciation of the Nigerian naira, MTN Group, Africa’s largest telecom provider, announced on Thursday an 18.5% decline in service revenue for the third quarter that concluded on September 30.

With 288 million users in 17 African regions, MTN said that its group service revenue dropped from 156.3 billion rand ($6.99 billion) in the same quarter of the previous year to 127.4 billion rand.

Despite stating that “the naira was less volatile on a sequential basis in Q3 than in preceding quarters,” the business reported a 48.7% decline in MTN Nigeria’s income due to the currency’s depreciation.

Due to a stronger Ugandan shilling than the previous year, Uganda’s largest contributor, MTN South Africa (MTN SA), expanded by a meagre 3.3%.

Due to “subscriber registration regulations in Nigeria and a decline in users in Sudan, where the conflict has displaced millions of people,” the business reported that its subscriber base increased by 1.6% to 288 million.

Given the higher demand in Nigeria despite the legal obstacles, MTN plans to increase its capital expenditures, which it expects would total between 28 and 33 billion rand for the entire year.

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