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World Bank worries over Nigeria’s macroeconomic management

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Multilateral lender, the World Bank is worried about Nigeria’s macroeconomic management, and has asked for structural changes to enhance financial management and tax collection, among other reforms.

The bank maintained that Nigeria “needed enabling business environment to attract investment and foster sustainable economic growth” amid its current economic reality.

This position was made in the Bank’s Country Policy and Institutional Assessment (CPIA) for 2022, which gave Nigeria 3.2 out of a possible 40 points, matching its score from the 2021 assessment. The CPIA, which is an annual diagnostic tool for Sub-Saharan African nations qualifying for funding from the International Development Association (IDA), is used throughout Africa.

In its highlights on the country’s performance, the World Bank stated: “Overall macroeconomic management weakened due to an inconsistent monetary policy framework which did not effectively curb inflation, as well as the absence of a more predictable, transparent, and flexible exchange rate management system, which was a deterrent to private investment.

“The weak fiscal position is exacerbated by low revenue generation, and limited progress in diversifying the economy away from oil dependency, contributing to a high debt service-to-revenue ratio”.

Some experts have argued that the recent petrol subsidy and the foreign exchange (FX) management reforms have the potential to lay the groundwork for sustained growth, addressing long-standing macroeconomic imbalances.

According to the World Bank, Nigeria’s highest-performing cluster was Policy for Social Inclusion and Equity with 3.5 points, while its lowest-performing cluster was Public Sector Management and Institutions with 2.8 points.

On the scoring trend, the World Bank said: “Despite global economic challenges, more countries in Sub-Saharan Africa saw improvements in their overall CPIA scores compared to the previous year. In Western and Central Africa (AFW), the overall score increased for eight countries— Benin, Cape Verde, Côte d’Ivoire, The Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, the Republic of Congo, and Togo.

“The overall score increased for four countries in Eastern and Southern Africa (AFE)— Burundi, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Mozambique, and Zambia. In contrast, the overall score decreased for eight countries—Chad,   the Comoros, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Ghana, Malawi, São Tomé and Príncipe, and Sudan”.

Nigeria can take advantage of the no-subsidy regime and FX float to implement a comprehensive reform package that includes a variety of complementary fiscal, monetary, trade, and structural policy measures.

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Moroccan annual inflation rises to 0.8% in November

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Morocco’s statistics office has confirmed that the country’s annual inflation rate, as determined by the consumer price index, increased from 0.7% in October to 0.8% in November.

Monthly, consumer prices decreased by 0.2% from October.

The primary driver of inflation, food costs, grew by 0.8% compared to the previous year, while non-food inflation climbed by 0.7%. Core inflation, which does not include more erratic items like food, increased 2.6% annually and 0.2% monthly.

According to the central bank, inflation is expected to average 1% this year, down from 6.1% last year.

Despite the Al-Haouz earthquake, a spike in inflation, and worldwide economic challenges, Morocco’s GDP grew by 3.4% in 2023.

A recovery in tourism, robust industrial exports, and rising private consumption—all bolstered by prudent macroeconomic policies—were the main drivers of growth.

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Nigeria’s $42bn foreign reserves enough for 9 months’ imports— Central Bank

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According to Olayemi Cardoso, Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the nation’s $42.01 billion in foreign reserves can cover imports of goods and services for almost nine months.

Cardoso promised Nigerians improved economic fortunes in 2025 while addressing the Senate Committee on Banking, Insurance, and Other Financial Institutions yesterday in Abuja at the presentation of the performance index report.

Cardoso stated: “External Reserves rose from $ 38.35 billion it was on September 30, 2024, to $ 42.01 billion as of December 12, 2024”.

He clarified that third-party receipts in Q3 2024 and revenues from taxes connected to crude oil were the main drivers of the rise in foreign reserves during the specified time.

“We saw remarkable improvements in our trade balance and maintained a current account surplus,” he added.

“Our external reserves level can finance over 9.09 months of import of goods and services or 13.91 months only, higher than the international benchmark of 3.0 months and a robust buffer against shocks”.

On cash shortage, the CBN boss reiterated the N150 million fine against any branch of banks caught illegally distributing new Naira notes to currency hawkers and unscrupulous elements and said the Nigerian economy will improve in 2025 through policies and measures.

He predicted a stronger economic future: “Despite our economy’s challenges, there are clear reasons for optimism.

“The gradual stabilization of the forex market, ongoing banking sector recapitalization, and positive growth trends in key sectors, especially the services sector, indicate a path toward recovery and stability.”

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