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Nigerian oil marketers say fresh petrol price increase looms as crude reaches $94

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Following a recent rise in the cost of crude oil, and further depreciation of the Nigerian currency, Naira, there are concerns about another hike in the price of Premium Motor Spirit, popularly called petrol.

On Sunday, oil marketers asked that the government should gradually boost the amount secretly paid as a petrol subsidy due to the rapid spike in crude oil price to about $94 per barrel, and Nigeria’s foreign exchange crisis.  According to the downstream oil dealers, around 80% of the price of PMS was determined by the price of crude oil and the dollar’s value at the time.

The price of Brent crude, the world’s standard for oil, increased to $94 a barrel on Sunday, the highest level since 2023. Oil started the year at around $82/barrel, fell below $70/barrel in June, but has recently traded above $92/barrel.

The dealers stressed that if the government maintained the price of petrol at N617 per litre, then the subsidy on PMS had been covertly returned. They explained that with the most recent increase in the price of crude oil, the cost of petrol was expected to climb.

The marketers noted that in July when the price of fuel was increased to N617 per litre, crude oil traded at roughly $82 per barrel, while the exchange rate at the parallel market was not as high as N950 per dollar.

The previous administration of Muhammadu Buhari postponed the removal of the subsidy but made budgetary preparations for the subsidy to terminate by June 2023. However, President Tinubu stated, “Subsidy is gone,” during his inaugural speech on May 29.

Last month, Tinubu, during a nationwide address, revealed that the government had saved ₦1 trillion in the two months since the removal of the petrol subsidy. He added that the money, which would have been squandered by those he called “smugglers and fraudsters”, would now be channelled into intervention programmes targeting families nationwide.

Since the removal of fuel subsidies, there has been back and forth between the government and organized labour on the best approach to manage the fallouts of the policy.

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VenturesNow

Food prices drive second straight monthly hike in Nigeria’s inflation

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According to official statistics released on Friday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the second consecutive month in October, rising to 33.88% in annual terms from 32.70% in September, mostly as a result of increasing food costs.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

As the effects of the naira devaluation started to lessen in July of this year, a slew of hikes in the price of petroleum and devastating floods that destroyed crops once again exacerbated pricing pressures, making the greatest cost-of-living crisis in decades worse in Africa’s most populous country.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil prompted food inflation to surge from 37.77% in October to 39.16% year over year.

This year, more than 1.5 million hectares of agriculture have been damaged by torrential rain and floods in 29 of Nigeria’s 36 states, leaving millions hungry and displacing large numbers of people.

In an effort to curb inflation, the central bank has raised interest rates five times this year. On November 26, it is expected to make its final rate decision of the year.

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MTN financial report reveals drop in group service revenue

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Due to operational difficulties in Sudan and the depreciation of the Nigerian naira, MTN Group, Africa’s largest telecom provider, announced on Thursday an 18.5% decline in service revenue for the third quarter that concluded on September 30.

With 288 million users in 17 African regions, MTN said that its group service revenue dropped from 156.3 billion rand ($6.99 billion) in the same quarter of the previous year to 127.4 billion rand.

Despite stating that “the naira was less volatile on a sequential basis in Q3 than in preceding quarters,” the business reported a 48.7% decline in MTN Nigeria’s income due to the currency’s depreciation.

Due to a stronger Ugandan shilling than the previous year, Uganda’s largest contributor, MTN South Africa (MTN SA), expanded by a meagre 3.3%.

Due to “subscriber registration regulations in Nigeria and a decline in users in Sudan, where the conflict has displaced millions of people,” the business reported that its subscriber base increased by 1.6% to 288 million.

Given the higher demand in Nigeria despite the legal obstacles, MTN plans to increase its capital expenditures, which it expects would total between 28 and 33 billion rand for the entire year.

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