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IMF, Egypt reach agreement on review of economic reform programme

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Egypt has revealed that it has reached an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to merge the fund’s first and second reviews of its economic reform programme.

The development comes after the first review was repeatedly delayed amid questions over Egypt’s progress in meeting the IMF’s terms.

Egypt’s finance ministry said in a detailed budget explanation on Saturday that “both the International Monetary Fund and the Egyptian state agreed to merge the first and second reviews at the same time, which is expected to be determined before the end of 2023”.

The ministry also revealed that negotiations with the IMF were proceeding “fruitfully and positively” in accordance with the terms of the programme concluded with the Fund.

The pound is currently trading at about 39 to the dollar on the black market, despite Egypt’s pledge to adopt a flexible exchange rate when it reached the loan agreement with the IMF late last year.

President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi in June ruled out a further devaluation of the Egyptian Pound anytime soon, on the grounds that it could harm national security and hurt the public.

The economy of Egypt has been declining recently. According to a financial ratings agency, Moody’s, Egypt is one of the five nations in the world most at risk of defaulting on its external debt. In recent years, Egypt has relied heavily on bailouts from Gulf nations and the IMF.

Egypt is currently ranked 11th out of 14 nations in the Middle East and North Africa, and its overall score is lower than the average for the area and the entire world.

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Food prices drive second straight monthly hike in Nigeria’s inflation

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According to official statistics released on Friday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the second consecutive month in October, rising to 33.88% in annual terms from 32.70% in September, mostly as a result of increasing food costs.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

As the effects of the naira devaluation started to lessen in July of this year, a slew of hikes in the price of petroleum and devastating floods that destroyed crops once again exacerbated pricing pressures, making the greatest cost-of-living crisis in decades worse in Africa’s most populous country.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil prompted food inflation to surge from 37.77% in October to 39.16% year over year.

This year, more than 1.5 million hectares of agriculture have been damaged by torrential rain and floods in 29 of Nigeria’s 36 states, leaving millions hungry and displacing large numbers of people.

In an effort to curb inflation, the central bank has raised interest rates five times this year. On November 26, it is expected to make its final rate decision of the year.

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MTN financial report reveals drop in group service revenue

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Due to operational difficulties in Sudan and the depreciation of the Nigerian naira, MTN Group, Africa’s largest telecom provider, announced on Thursday an 18.5% decline in service revenue for the third quarter that concluded on September 30.

With 288 million users in 17 African regions, MTN said that its group service revenue dropped from 156.3 billion rand ($6.99 billion) in the same quarter of the previous year to 127.4 billion rand.

Despite stating that “the naira was less volatile on a sequential basis in Q3 than in preceding quarters,” the business reported a 48.7% decline in MTN Nigeria’s income due to the currency’s depreciation.

Due to a stronger Ugandan shilling than the previous year, Uganda’s largest contributor, MTN South Africa (MTN SA), expanded by a meagre 3.3%.

Due to “subscriber registration regulations in Nigeria and a decline in users in Sudan, where the conflict has displaced millions of people,” the business reported that its subscriber base increased by 1.6% to 288 million.

Given the higher demand in Nigeria despite the legal obstacles, MTN plans to increase its capital expenditures, which it expects would total between 28 and 33 billion rand for the entire year.

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