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Experts recommend G20 framework as Africa’s debt default rate surges

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The growing debt profile of many African countries continues as a disturbing trend across the continent, and a reworking of the G20 framework has been proposed as a likely solution to managing the situation.

These were the issues of discourse at the African Conference on Debt and Development (AfCoDD III) which started in Senegal on Wednesday. It was noted at the event that more African countries were currently showing signs of either defaulting on their national debt or needing to apply to the G20 common framework.

The level of indebtedness in African countries is at its highest in more than a decade, largely due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and skyrocketing inflation. African nations were forced to incur even more debt, and as a result, 21 low-income African nations are currently either insolvent or at great risk of experiencing debt hardship.

Five African nations have so far formally defaulted on their national debt: Zambia, Ghana, Ethiopia, Chad, and Sri Lanka. Zambia successfully applied for a debt restructuring plan under the G20 framework, a deal that has not yet been finalised.

The Board Chair of the African Forum and Network on Debt and Development (AFRODAD), Barbara Khalima-Phiri, noted that the debt crisis in most cases is the consequence of irresponsible borrowing.

She added, “Several countries on the continent have shown signs of wanting to apply for G20 common framework. Africa’s debt burden is directly becoming a burden on Africans who are having to pay the price of both irresponsible borrowing and equal irresponsible lending.”

The G20 is a framework under which bilateral official creditors are, during a limited period, suspending debt service payments from the poorest countries (73 low- and lower-middle-income countries) that request the suspension.

Some panellists at the AfCoDD III align with the position to have Africa’s debt reworked. AFRODAD Executive Director, Jason Braganza, pointed out that having a seat at the G20 common framework meant that the continent had to give up on some clubs such as the Borrower’s Club.

Patrick Ndzana Oloma, a policy advisor for the African Union Commission, said that if the continent’s nations continued to be underrepresented at the G20 common framework, they ran the possibility of having to negotiate debt agreements with odd terms.

Beyond Africa, some other countries have already concluded debt restructuring, for example, Argentina and Ecuador, while others like Lebanon are bent on debt restructuring.

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Moroccan annual inflation rises to 0.8% in November

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Morocco’s statistics office has confirmed that the country’s annual inflation rate, as determined by the consumer price index, increased from 0.7% in October to 0.8% in November.

Monthly, consumer prices decreased by 0.2% from October.

The primary driver of inflation, food costs, grew by 0.8% compared to the previous year, while non-food inflation climbed by 0.7%. Core inflation, which does not include more erratic items like food, increased 2.6% annually and 0.2% monthly.

According to the central bank, inflation is expected to average 1% this year, down from 6.1% last year.

Despite the Al-Haouz earthquake, a spike in inflation, and worldwide economic challenges, Morocco’s GDP grew by 3.4% in 2023.

A recovery in tourism, robust industrial exports, and rising private consumption—all bolstered by prudent macroeconomic policies—were the main drivers of growth.

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Nigeria’s $42bn foreign reserves enough for 9 months’ imports— Central Bank

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According to Olayemi Cardoso, Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the nation’s $42.01 billion in foreign reserves can cover imports of goods and services for almost nine months.

Cardoso promised Nigerians improved economic fortunes in 2025 while addressing the Senate Committee on Banking, Insurance, and Other Financial Institutions yesterday in Abuja at the presentation of the performance index report.

Cardoso stated: “External Reserves rose from $ 38.35 billion it was on September 30, 2024, to $ 42.01 billion as of December 12, 2024”.

He clarified that third-party receipts in Q3 2024 and revenues from taxes connected to crude oil were the main drivers of the rise in foreign reserves during the specified time.

“We saw remarkable improvements in our trade balance and maintained a current account surplus,” he added.

“Our external reserves level can finance over 9.09 months of import of goods and services or 13.91 months only, higher than the international benchmark of 3.0 months and a robust buffer against shocks”.

On cash shortage, the CBN boss reiterated the N150 million fine against any branch of banks caught illegally distributing new Naira notes to currency hawkers and unscrupulous elements and said the Nigerian economy will improve in 2025 through policies and measures.

He predicted a stronger economic future: “Despite our economy’s challenges, there are clear reasons for optimism.

“The gradual stabilization of the forex market, ongoing banking sector recapitalization, and positive growth trends in key sectors, especially the services sector, indicate a path toward recovery and stability.”

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