Nigerian Manufacturers Association (MAN) has warned that the country’s debt burden will likely affect economic growth under President Bola Tinubu.
According to the the body’s CEOs’ Confidence Index (MCCI) first quarter 2023 (Q1’23), “The domino effects of escalating public debt on the manufacturing sector are endless”.
Nigeria’s debt profile rose by 410 percent in the last 8 years. In March, Nigeria’s Debt Management Office (DMO) revealed that the country’s total public debt rose to 46.25 trillion naira ($103.1 billion) in 2022.
The rise was from 39.56 trillion naira in the year 2021, as the government ramped up borrowing to fund its budget deficit.
The MAN’s index report further revealed that the “rising domestic debt is highly crowding out private investment in the manufacturing sector by reducing credit availability and forcing hike in lending rates”.
The manufacturers also stressed how the debt situation had affected the availability of foreign currencies for their industry to stimulate production and national economy.
“External debts are mostly serviced in foreign currencies, hence high demand for foreign currencies further depreciates the naira and makes importation of non-locally produced critical inputs highly expensive for manufacturers.
“Moreover, higher debt servicing is consuming greater volume of forex and worsening the forex scarcity that has plagued the manufacturing sector for many years. Higher debt repayment requires increased revenue.
“The Nigerian government has continued to breed a harsh business environment by its indiscriminate imposition of high and multiple taxes on manufacturers all in a bid to generate revenue”.
Nigeria’s public finance is currently affected by dwindling oil prices and industrial-scale crude oil theft and what used to be the high amount expended on fuel subsidies.
With fuel subsidy out of the equation from the first day of his administration, it is yet to be seen how President Tinubu will better the country’s economic lot in the shortest space of time.
A likely option is the tax system but there are already existing fears around taxation in the country. So much that MAN stressed that “contrary to the popular parlance in the government quarters that Nigeria has revenue problem, the country’s debt crisis is not a result of inadequate revenue and it is anti-growth to view manufacturing taxes as the last resort for curbing the debt problem”.