A likely rise in the price of Premium Motor Spirit, popularly called petrol in Nigeria, has surfaced again following a recent plunge of the Nigerian currency, Naira, which now exchanges at over 900 to the United States dollar.
Concerns about whether the pump price could remain the same after the Naira declined against the dollar on the black market from 900 to 920 on Thursday. The naira reached 945 to the dollar in the black market two weeks ago but it recovered.
Recently, the marketers claimed that the CBN’s Importers and Exporters (I&E) official window for foreign exchange, which had a lower exchange rate of approximately N740/dollar, had remained illiquid and was unable to offer the $25 million to $30 million needed for dealers to import PMS.
But state oil firm, Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL), played down fears of an imminent rise in petrol, insisting that there are no intentions for a price raise. Experts have said NNPCL price assurance should pose concern of another possible price-control regime which will eventually birth payments of subsidy on petrol.
On Thursday, the marketers raised the concern of a possible price hike again following the latest exchange rate. The price is now projected to be between N680/litre to N700/litre for PMS, stressing that the forex rate was about N750/$ to N800/$ at the time the cost of petrol was pegged at N590/litre to N617/litre.
Nigeria, a West African nation, is one of the world’s top oil producers, yet it does not refine crude oil domestically. The state-owned Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) operates four refineries: two in Port Harcourt (PHRC), one each in Kaduna (KRPC), and one in Warri (WRPC). Despite several efforts to restart the refineries, none of them has been operating at full capacity for years.
The need to export petroleum products for refining is a major cost factor that affects the price of the end products. In May, the country launched a 650,000 barrels per day (BPD) integrated, private refinery which according to the central bank governor at the time, Godwin Emefiele, said is expected to generate 12,000 megawatts of electricity and over 135,000 permanent jobs, help the country save $25b, and $30b forex annually.
But the hope has not materialised as the refinery is yet to begin full operation, despite its elaborate commissioning, and projection to get to work by July.