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Nigeria’s headline inflation rate hits 22.79%, up from 22.41% in May

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The latest data from the National Bureau of Statistics shows that the inflation rate in Nigeria has risen to 22.79% year-on-year from 22.41% in May.

As a result of the change, the headline inflation rate for June 2023 rose by 0.38% when compared to the headline inflation rate for May 2023. The headline inflation rate was 4.19% higher year over year than the 18.60% rate seen in June 2022.

On a year-over-year basis, the food inflation rate in June 2023 was 25.25%, which was 4.65% percentage points higher than the rate observed in June 2022 (20.60%).

Increases in the cost of fish, potatoes, yams, and other tubers, fruits, meat, vegetables, milk, cheese, and eggs were the main contributors to the rise in food inflation on an annual basis. In June 2023, the monthly rate of food inflation was 2.40%, which was 0.21% higher than the rate seen in May 2023 (2.19%).

Nigeria is in a dire economic state. Its monetary policy has also been in the spotlight over the majority of the last eight years when the nation operated a monetary framework that enabled multiple exchange rates, which some analysts claim led to arbitrage that harmed the economy.

President Bola Tinubu recently announced a policy to combine several exchange rate windows. He also promised to promote making it simple for foreign investors to repatriate their funds.

With the recent removal of subsidies on petroleum products and a spike in prices of transport and food, Tinubu has requested that the legislature amend the 2022 Supplemental Appropriations Act to add N500 billion for the purpose of funding emergency measures to counter the effects of the elimination of fuel subsidies.

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Dangote insists refinery has 500 million litres of petrol to meet Nigeria’s needs

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Aliko Dangote, the chairman of Nigeria’s Dangote oil refinery, has claimed a 500 million litre gasoline stockpile, refuting claims by some oil marketers that they had to augment Dangote’s supplies with imports to address fuel shortages.

Africa’s wealthiest man claimed to be a guest of the Nigerian President, Bola Tinubu, along with the finance minister, the head of the state-owned NNPC, and oil regulators at a meeting in Abuja on Tuesday.

The goal was to reconsider a policy mandating that NNPC sell crude oil to the Dangote refinery in local naira currency in an attempt to relieve pressure on foreign exchange and assist the massive refinery in obtaining enough crude to meet its 650,000-barrel-per-day capacity.

After the discussion, Dangote explained that he should not be held responsible for fuel shortages in Africa’s top oil-producing nation because his company does not deal in the retail sale of petrol.

He added that it costs him money to keep fuel in storage tanks.

“I expect the NNPC and marketers to stop importing. They should come and collect; we have everything they need,” said Dangote.
Two weeks ago, local fuel traders began increasing imports, claiming that the Dangote refinery was unable to meet domestic demand, exacerbating fuel shortages.

In September, the Dangote Oil Refinery in Lagos started processing petroleum to produce 25 million litres per day. The objective is to progressively boost output to 35 million litres per day, which Dangote thinks will be enough to satisfy regional demand. However, the industry regulator stated at an oil conference in Lagos on Monday that Nigeria uses 45 to 50 million litres of petrol every day.

President Tinubu advised stakeholders to concentrate on providing enough petrol for domestic consumption to lessen reliance on imports, according to a government spokesperson’s statement.

In order to settle the naira pricing of oil and refined goods, he also instructed them to use Afreximbank, the financial adviser for the naira crude sale plan.

The refinery was forced to rely on costly imports after Dangote filed a complaint alleging that oil majors were preventing it from accessing locally produced oil by selling it above market value or claiming it was unavailable. Previously, Dangote had to purchase crude on the international market.

The plan to sell crude in naira will continue, according to Wale Edun, Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, and the government would not meddle in setting the oil industry’s exchange rate.

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Ghana considers imports from Nigeria’s Dangote oil refinery

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The head of Ghana’s oil regulator stated on Monday that once Nigeria’s Dangote Oil Refinery was fully operational, Ghana might purchase petroleum products from the facility, reducing the need for more costly exports from Europe.

Mustapha Abdul-Hamid, the chairman of Ghana’s National Petroleum Authority, stated at the OTL Africa Downstream oil conference in Lagos that this might result in the elimination of $400 million in petroleum imports from Europe each month.

“If the refinery reaches 650,000 bpd a day capacity, all that volume cannot be consumed by Nigeria alone, so instead of us importing as we do right now from Rotterdam, it will be much easier for us to import from Nigeria and I believe that will bring down our prices,” Hamid said.

The Nigerian billionaire Aliko Dangote constructed the Dangote Oil refinery, which is anticipated to run close to capacity by the end of the year and maybe reach full capacity in the first quarter of 2025, according to analysts.

Hamid claimed that by eliminating freight expenses, buying from Nigeria instead of Europe would result in lower prices for other goods and services. He predicted that African nations would eventually settle on a single currency, which would reduce demand for US dollars.

In the second quarter of 2024, Ghana’s GDP rose 6.9% year over year, primarily due to the robust growth of the extractive industry, which increased demand for petroleum.

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