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South Africa: Inflation hits 7.1% in 2nd straight month rise

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As the troubles around its electricity sector continue,  South Africa’s consumer inflation rose from 7.0% in February to 7.1% year-on-year. It rose from 0.7% to 1.0% on a month-on-month basis.

Data from Statistics South Africa (SSA) on Wednesday shows that inflation has been on the rise for the second month in a row.

SSA says inflation for food & non-alcoholic beverages continued to accelerate, with prices increasing by 14,0% in the 12 months leading up to March. This represents the largest annual increase since the 14.7% rise in March 2009 (14 years ago).

Domestic worker wages increased by 1.2% in March, leading to a 5.2% annual rise – the highest since February 2019 when the same rate was recorded.

The government has revealed that it is unlikely to provide future bailouts to Eskom, the country’s main electricity supplier that produces about 90% of the electricity used in South Africa and about 30% of the electricity produced on the African continent but has been struggling due to poor financing, despite calls from the electricity minister for more investments in the power sector.

Since 2010, South Africa’s public debt has more than tripled. The budgetary consolidation process that several countries in the region began after the COVID-19 pandemic was over was put on hold by the conflict in Ukraine.

The World Bank predicts that as the energy crisis worsens, South Africa’s economic activity would decline (by 0.5%) in 2023.

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IMF mission concludes 4th loan program assessment in Egypt

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Following the completion of a recent visit to Egypt, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has announced that its mission had achieved significant strides in policy talks aimed at concluding the fourth review of the IMF loan program.

The review is the fourth in Egypt’s most recent 46-month IMF loan program, which was authorised in 2022 and increased to $8 billion this year following an economic crisis characterised by high inflation and chronic foreign exchange shortages. It may unleash more than $1.2 billion in financing.

Along with reaffirming its commitment to maintain a flexible exchange rate system, the IMF stated that Egypt “has implemented key reforms to preserve macroeconomic stability,” including the unification of the currency rate that facilitated imports.

Earlier on Wednesday, Egypt’s Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said Cairo has asked the IMF to modify the targets for the programme not only for this year, but for its full duration, he added without giving more details.

“Discussions will continue over the coming days to finalize agreement on the remaining policies and reforms that could support the completion of the fourth review,” the IMF added in its statement.

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Kenya seeks $750m from World Bank, obtains $200m from AfDB— Official

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The head of debt management for the finance ministry told Reuters that Kenya had obtained a $200 million loan from the African Development Bank (AfDB) and was negotiating a fresh $750 million loan with the World Bank.

After being forced to abandon proposed tax rises costing more than 346 billion shillings ($2.68 billion) in June due to fatal demonstrations, the East African nation’s administration, which has been grappling with significant debt, has been frantically seeking fresh funding.

The Finance Ministry’s public debt management office director general, Raphael Owino, told Reuters that the IMF’s October clearance of the seventh and eighth reviews, which opened the door for a $606 million loan tranche, had aided the ministry’s talks for more loans.

“The World Bank is coming on board, riding on the back of IMF receipts,” Owino said. “The AfDB is already on board.”

The discussions for more assistance, which came under the World Bank’s “Development Policy Operations” (DPO) with the government, were confirmed by a representative at the organization’s Kenya office.

“The amount of the current (loan) is yet to be determined. The amount will also depend on the implementation of the policy reforms agreed upon,” the spokesperson told Reuters, adding that past DPO loans averaged about $750 million.

In May, the World Bank approved the latest round of DPO loans, totalling $1.2 billion.

According to a statement made last month by Finance Minister John Mbadi, Kenya has set a foreign borrowing goal of 168 billion shillings for the fiscal year ending in June 2025.

 

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