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Nigeria’s apex bank, CBN, introduces new cash withdrawal policy but legislators aren’t impressed. Here’s why

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The lower chambers of Nigeria’s legislative house, the House of Representatives have asked the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to suspend the implementation of the new cash withdrawal policy.

The new policy put limits cash withdrawal limits for individuals and corporate organizations.

Nigeria’s apex bank on Tuesday in a new circular placed limits on over-the-counter cash withdrawals, Automated Teller Machine (ATM) withdrawals, and point of sale (PoS) withdrawals.

The CBN directed all banks and other financial institutions to ensure that over-the-counter cash withdrawals by individuals and corporate entities do not exceed N100,000 and N500, 000, respectively, per week.

In response to the new policy, the legislatures summoned the CBN Governor, Godwin Emefiele, to appear before the new policy takes effect on January 9, 2023.

The upper chamber of the Nigerian legislature, the senate had also expressed concerns about the policy, with the Senate President, Ahmed Lawan, cautioning the apex bank not to jump into the policy at once as many Nigerians will be affected.

Honourable Mogaji argued that small businesses are drivers of Nigeria’s economy and most small business owners transact their businesses, trade, and transactions in physical cash and are in most cases, not inclined to the use of electronic banking system as most of them are either illiterate, half-educated or not learned at all.

He said, “These set of Nigerians who are the drivers of Nigeria’s economy will be seriously negatively affected and their business and source of livelihood may be seriously impaired with these new directives of CBN.

“The new policies rolled out by CBN will hurt the already dwindling economy, and further weakens the value of Nigeria as Nigerians may resolve to use dollars and other currencies as a means of trading and thus further de valued Naira and weakens the economy.”

Nigeria has been on a recent trend of monetary policy in a bid to rescue its struggling economy. Nigeria’s apex bank recently announced plans to introduce new designs of the N200, N500, and N1,000 notes this month.

Meanwhile, the inflation rate in Nigeria has continued to rise and hit a new 17-year high of 21.09% in October 2022, marking a 0.32% points increase from 20.77% recorded in September. Will the latest reign of monetary policies help manage the growing inflation rate? The jury is out on that.

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IMF says South Africa needs to do more to cut spending, lower debt-to-GDP ratio

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A top official from the International Monetary Fund has revealed that South Africa needs to do more to cut spending and lower its debt-to-gross domestic product ratio. The multilateral body stressed that the ratio is expected to rise from 74% in 2022 to almost 86% by 2029.

Era Dabla-Norris, deputy head of Fiscal Affairs, said that the government could cut back on transfers to state-owned businesses, make cuts to subsidies that don’t help specific companies, and make big changes to the way the economy works to boost growth.

She told a news conference that South Africa’s energy and logistics problems had to be fixed right away.

A Statista study shows that between 2023 and 2028, the South African national debt was expected to keep going up by a total of 163.3 billion U.S. dollars, or 59.99%.

The national debt is expected to hit a new high point of 435.46 billion U.S. dollars in 2028, after going up for ten years in a row. Notably, the national debt has steadily risen over the past few years.

The IMF says that the general government’s gross debt is made up of all its debts that need to be paid back with interest and/or capital at some point in the future.

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Nigeria’s central bank insists depleting external reserves not due to Naira defence

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According to the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the big drop in the country’s foreign exchange reserves was not due to the defence of the Naira. Instead, it was done to partly pay off debts owed to creditors.

Furthermore, the bank said it wanted to stay out of the market as much as possible, hoping to create an environment where costs are set by willing buyers and sellers.

The CBN governor, Olayemi Cardoso, clarified on Wednesday while the International Monetary Fund and World Bank held their Spring Meetings in Washington, D.C., USA following curiosity around the big drop in the country’s foreign exchange reserves—about $2.16bn in just 29 days—even though the government was working hard to keep the naira stable, underlying important it is to let the market decide prices instead of depending too much on the bank to step in.

The CBN website showed that as of April 15, 2024, the foreign exchange stocks had dropped to $32.29bn, a big drop from March 18, 2024, when they were $34.45bn. Also, the funds grew by $1.28bn over 43 days, from February 5, 2024, to March 18, 2024.

The apex had earlier stated that the rise was due to more money being sent back to Nigeria by Nigerians living abroad and more interest from foreign buyers in local assets, such as government debt securities. The top bank also said that the rise was caused by changes in the foreign exchange market and more oil being produced, among other things.

Cardoso maintained that the bank would not get involved in the exchange unless unusual circumstances arose. He also made it clear that the recent small change in reserves had nothing to do with protecting the naira. He said that there will be an increase soon because the country is getting an extra $600 million into its funds.

He said, “I want to make this as clear as possible, it is not in our intention to defend the naira. and as much I have read in the recent few days, some opinions concerning what is happening with our reserves and if the central bank is defending the naira. If you think about what our overall policy and philosophy has been here, you can see it is counterintuitive.

“What we are encouraging is for the market to be a willing-buyer and willing-seller price discovery system, and ultimately I perceive a future where the central bank would not intervene except in very unusual circumstances. What is important to us is that there is sufficient liquidity in the market. We recorded trading of $1bn, sometimes it is $600m or $700m as the case may be and that will continue. So as long as we have a vibrant currency market, why do we need to intervene? There has been little amount given to the Bureau de Change to get that segment going and a small amount of money has gone into that to catalyse because individuals must have access to funds for school fees, health and the rest.”

Foreign currency shortages in the country have been a problem for a long time for the CBN. That governments, commercial banks, merchant banks, other financial institutions (OFIs), or public officials cannot directly or indirectly own Bureaux de Change (BDCs) was ruled in February.

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